Recent model consensus and official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau guidance point to a modest cooling from prior hot, sunny conditions, with increased cloud cover and intermittent showers limiting peak solar heating on September 21. Reduced insolation combined with evaporative cooling from scattered rain and higher humidity keeps afternoon maxima near 30–32 °C, producing the tight market split between 31 °C and 32 °C. Steering winds remain light, so localized shower timing introduces the main uncertainty in whether the daily high registers at the lower or upper end of that narrow band. Historical September baselines for the region average 30–31 °C under similar transitional patterns, aligning with current trader-implied probabilities. Updated radar and short-range model runs through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日深圳最高溫度？
9月21日深圳最高溫度？
31°C 42%
32°C 38%
33°C 8%
30°C 6%
最新
$27,975 交易量
最新
$27,975 交易量
2026-09-21
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
6%
31°C
42%
32°C
38%
33°C
8%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
31°C 42%
32°C 38%
33°C 8%
30°C 6%
最新
$27,975 交易量
最新
$27,975 交易量
2026-09-21
25°C或以下
$111 交易量
<1%
26°C
$111 交易量
<1%
27°C
$111 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,133 交易量
<1%
29°C
$3,733 交易量
<1%
30°C
$5,091 交易量
6%
31°C
$3,053 交易量
42%
32°C
$1,846 交易量
38%
33°C
$3,904 交易量
8%
34°C
$7,194 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$1,687 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau guidance point to a modest cooling from prior hot, sunny conditions, with increased cloud cover and intermittent showers limiting peak solar heating on September 21. Reduced insolation combined with evaporative cooling from scattered rain and higher humidity keeps afternoon maxima near 30–32 °C, producing the tight market split between 31 °C and 32 °C. Steering winds remain light, so localized shower timing introduces the main uncertainty in whether the daily high registers at the lower or upper end of that narrow band. Historical September baselines for the region average 30–31 °C under similar transitional patterns, aligning with current trader-implied probabilities. Updated radar and short-range model runs through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$27,975結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau guidance point to a modest cooling from prior hot, sunny conditions, with increased cloud cover and intermittent showers limiting peak solar heating on September 21. Reduced insolation combined with evaporative cooling from scattered rain and higher humidity keeps afternoon maxima near 30–32 °C, producing the tight market split between 31 °C and 32 °C. Steering winds remain light, so localized shower timing introduces the main uncertainty in whether the daily high registers at the lower or upper end of that narrow band. Historical September baselines for the region average 30–31 °C under similar transitional patterns, aligning with current trader-implied probabilities. Updated radar and short-range model runs through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$27,975結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent model consensus and official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau guidance point to a modest cooling from prior hot, sunny conditions, with increased cloud cover and intermittent showers limiting peak solar heating on September 21. Reduced insolation combined with evaporative cooling from scattered rain and higher humidity keeps afternoon maxima near 30–32 °C, producing the tight market split between 31 °C and 32 °C. Steering winds remain light, so localized shower timing introduces the main uncertainty in whether the daily high registers at the lower or upper end of that narrow band. Historical September baselines for the region average 30–31 °C under similar transitional patterns, aligning with current trader-implied probabilities. Updated radar and short-range model runs through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions