The southwest monsoon, or habagat, and associated cloud cover with scattered afternoon thunderstorms represent the dominant near-term influence on Manila's maximum temperature for September 23, moderating daytime heating through reduced solar insolation amid typical wet-season humidity levels near 75-85%. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate highs most likely in the 29-31°C range, consistent with September climatology of about 31°C, though breaks in cloudiness or delayed convection could allow brief spikes toward 32-33°C. Model consensus shows limited spread on steering patterns, with no active tropical cyclone threat inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility, leaving trader-implied probabilities clustered around 30-33°C outcomes due to these persistent moisture and stability factors ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月23日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
9月23日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
31°C 31%
33°C 31%
32°C 31%
36°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
28°C或以下
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
10%
31°C
31%
32°C
31%
33°C
31%
34°C
6%
35°C
16%
36°C
17%
37°C
4%
38°C或更高
1%
31°C 31%
33°C 31%
32°C 31%
36°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
28°C或以下
$5 交易量
4%
29°C
$23 交易量
8%
30°C
$0 交易量
10%
31°C
$5 交易量
31%
32°C
$5 交易量
31%
33°C
$0 交易量
31%
34°C
$0 交易量
6%
35°C
$0 交易量
16%
36°C
$5 交易量
17%
37°C
$0 交易量
4%
38°C或更高
$11 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, and associated cloud cover with scattered afternoon thunderstorms represent the dominant near-term influence on Manila's maximum temperature for September 23, moderating daytime heating through reduced solar insolation amid typical wet-season humidity levels near 75-85%. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate highs most likely in the 29-31°C range, consistent with September climatology of about 31°C, though breaks in cloudiness or delayed convection could allow brief spikes toward 32-33°C. Model consensus shows limited spread on steering patterns, with no active tropical cyclone threat inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility, leaving trader-implied probabilities clustered around 30-33°C outcomes due to these persistent moisture and stability factors ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$34結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, and associated cloud cover with scattered afternoon thunderstorms represent the dominant near-term influence on Manila's maximum temperature for September 23, moderating daytime heating through reduced solar insolation amid typical wet-season humidity levels near 75-85%. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate highs most likely in the 29-31°C range, consistent with September climatology of about 31°C, though breaks in cloudiness or delayed convection could allow brief spikes toward 32-33°C. Model consensus shows limited spread on steering patterns, with no active tropical cyclone threat inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility, leaving trader-implied probabilities clustered around 30-33°C outcomes due to these persistent moisture and stability factors ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThe southwest monsoon, or habagat, and associated cloud cover with scattered afternoon thunderstorms represent the dominant near-term influence on Manila's maximum temperature for September 23, moderating daytime heating through reduced solar insolation amid typical wet-season humidity levels near 75-85%. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate highs most likely in the 29-31°C range, consistent with September climatology of about 31°C, though breaks in cloudiness or delayed convection could allow brief spikes toward 32-33°C. Model consensus shows limited spread on steering patterns, with no active tropical cyclone threat inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility, leaving trader-implied probabilities clustered around 30-33°C outcomes due to these persistent moisture and stability factors ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions