Forecast models and live observations from Polish meteorological stations show Warsaw reaching a daily maximum of exactly 15°C on September 23 under mostly cloudy skies, moderate northwest winds, and light showers that limited afternoon warming. This aligns with seasonal norms for late September, when average highs typically range 14–17°C, and multiple GFS and regional runs converged on the same peak without significant model spread. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects high confidence in official resolution criteria tied to verified station readings. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-day temperature spike above 15°C from unexpected clear-sky heating or measurement revision, though current conditions and data consistency make such shifts improbable before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月23日華沙的最高溫度？
9月23日華沙的最高溫度？
15°C 100%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$37,546 交易量
$37,546 交易量
2026-09-23
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
是
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或以上
否
15°C 100%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$37,546 交易量
$37,546 交易量
2026-09-23
10°C或以下
$105 交易量
否
11°C
$235 交易量
否
12°C
$386 交易量
否
13°C
$280 交易量
否
14°C
$6,031 交易量
否
15°C
$11,445 交易量
是
16°C
$8,719 交易量
否
17°C
$6,639 交易量
否
18°C
$3,070 交易量
否
19°C
$325 交易量
否
20°C或以上
$312 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and live observations from Polish meteorological stations show Warsaw reaching a daily maximum of exactly 15°C on September 23 under mostly cloudy skies, moderate northwest winds, and light showers that limited afternoon warming. This aligns with seasonal norms for late September, when average highs typically range 14–17°C, and multiple GFS and regional runs converged on the same peak without significant model spread. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects high confidence in official resolution criteria tied to verified station readings. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-day temperature spike above 15°C from unexpected clear-sky heating or measurement revision, though current conditions and data consistency make such shifts improbable before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$37,546結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and live observations from Polish meteorological stations show Warsaw reaching a daily maximum of exactly 15°C on September 23 under mostly cloudy skies, moderate northwest winds, and light showers that limited afternoon warming. This aligns with seasonal norms for late September, when average highs typically range 14–17°C, and multiple GFS and regional runs converged on the same peak without significant model spread. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects high confidence in official resolution criteria tied to verified station readings. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-day temperature spike above 15°C from unexpected clear-sky heating or measurement revision, though current conditions and data consistency make such shifts improbable before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,546結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Forecast models and live observations from Polish meteorological stations show Warsaw reaching a daily maximum of exactly 15°C on September 23 under mostly cloudy skies, moderate northwest winds, and light showers that limited afternoon warming. This aligns with seasonal norms for late September, when average highs typically range 14–17°C, and multiple GFS and regional runs converged on the same peak without significant model spread. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects high confidence in official resolution criteria tied to verified station readings. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-day temperature spike above 15°C from unexpected clear-sky heating or measurement revision, though current conditions and data consistency make such shifts improbable before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions