Latest forecast models and observational data show Warsaw under persistent cloud cover and light westerly flow tied to a passing frontal system, limiting solar heating and keeping the daily maximum near seasonal norms or slightly below. This setup has produced a narrow temperature range, with afternoon readings projected around 13–14°C and only modest potential for brief clearing that could allow a brief spike to 15°C. Trader consensus, shown in the leading market-implied odds for 14°C and 13°C, aligns with the latest GFS and regional model runs emphasizing overcast conditions and high humidity that suppress daytime warming. Official station reports through the afternoon will determine the precise peak, with any unexpected breaks in cloud cover the main variable that could shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月24日華沙的最高溫度？
9月24日華沙的最高溫度？
14°C 46%
13°C 32%
15°C 18%
16°C 2%
最新
$19,142 交易量
最新
$19,142 交易量
2026-09-24
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
32%
14°C
46%
15°C
18%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或更高
<1%
14°C 46%
13°C 32%
15°C 18%
16°C 2%
最新
$19,142 交易量
最新
$19,142 交易量
2026-09-24
9°C或以下
$405 交易量
<1%
10°C
$44 交易量
<1%
11°C
$149 交易量
1%
12°C
$718 交易量
1%
13°C
$4,537 交易量
32%
14°C
$3,596 交易量
46%
15°C
$3,949 交易量
18%
16°C
$3,470 交易量
2%
17°C
$1,634 交易量
1%
18°C
$415 交易量
<1%
19°C或更高
$226 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models and observational data show Warsaw under persistent cloud cover and light westerly flow tied to a passing frontal system, limiting solar heating and keeping the daily maximum near seasonal norms or slightly below. This setup has produced a narrow temperature range, with afternoon readings projected around 13–14°C and only modest potential for brief clearing that could allow a brief spike to 15°C. Trader consensus, shown in the leading market-implied odds for 14°C and 13°C, aligns with the latest GFS and regional model runs emphasizing overcast conditions and high humidity that suppress daytime warming. Official station reports through the afternoon will determine the precise peak, with any unexpected breaks in cloud cover the main variable that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$19,142結束日期
2026-09-24市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models and observational data show Warsaw under persistent cloud cover and light westerly flow tied to a passing frontal system, limiting solar heating and keeping the daily maximum near seasonal norms or slightly below. This setup has produced a narrow temperature range, with afternoon readings projected around 13–14°C and only modest potential for brief clearing that could allow a brief spike to 15°C. Trader consensus, shown in the leading market-implied odds for 14°C and 13°C, aligns with the latest GFS and regional model runs emphasizing overcast conditions and high humidity that suppress daytime warming. Official station reports through the afternoon will determine the precise peak, with any unexpected breaks in cloud cover the main variable that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,142結束日期
2026-09-24市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETLatest forecast models and observational data show Warsaw under persistent cloud cover and light westerly flow tied to a passing frontal system, limiting solar heating and keeping the daily maximum near seasonal norms or slightly below. This setup has produced a narrow temperature range, with afternoon readings projected around 13–14°C and only modest potential for brief clearing that could allow a brief spike to 15°C. Trader consensus, shown in the leading market-implied odds for 14°C and 13°C, aligns with the latest GFS and regional model runs emphasizing overcast conditions and high humidity that suppress daytime warming. Official station reports through the afternoon will determine the precise peak, with any unexpected breaks in cloud cover the main variable that could shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions