Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 23 points to a high near 88°F amid a 70-90% chance of showers and thunderstorms, driven by typical late-September diurnal convection and abundant tropical moisture. Afternoon cloud cover and rainfall timing create the main uncertainty differentiating the closely matched 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins, as earlier or heavier storms can suppress peak readings while delayed convection allows brief warming. Light southwest winds and high humidity further modulate surface heating. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily, with lower-probability tails reflecting historical variability in storm initiation and model spread on exact timing. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through September 22 will likely refine the resolution outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月23日邁阿密的最高溫度？
9月23日邁阿密的最高溫度？
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 32%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
華氏75度或以下
2%
76-77°F
1%
78-79華氏度
2%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
2%
94°F或以上
2%
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 32%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
華氏75度或以下
$0 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$460 交易量
1%
78-79華氏度
$416 交易量
2%
80-81°F
$75 交易量
4%
82-83°F
$113 交易量
13%
84-85°F
$77 交易量
32%
86-87°F
$266 交易量
33%
88-89°F
$762 交易量
18%
90-91°F
$86 交易量
5%
92-93°F
$15 交易量
2%
94°F或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 23 points to a high near 88°F amid a 70-90% chance of showers and thunderstorms, driven by typical late-September diurnal convection and abundant tropical moisture. Afternoon cloud cover and rainfall timing create the main uncertainty differentiating the closely matched 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins, as earlier or heavier storms can suppress peak readings while delayed convection allows brief warming. Light southwest winds and high humidity further modulate surface heating. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily, with lower-probability tails reflecting historical variability in storm initiation and model spread on exact timing. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through September 22 will likely refine the resolution outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,269結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 23 points to a high near 88°F amid a 70-90% chance of showers and thunderstorms, driven by typical late-September diurnal convection and abundant tropical moisture. Afternoon cloud cover and rainfall timing create the main uncertainty differentiating the closely matched 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins, as earlier or heavier storms can suppress peak readings while delayed convection allows brief warming. Light southwest winds and high humidity further modulate surface heating. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily, with lower-probability tails reflecting historical variability in storm initiation and model spread on exact timing. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through September 22 will likely refine the resolution outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,269結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 23 points to a high near 88°F amid a 70-90% chance of showers and thunderstorms, driven by typical late-September diurnal convection and abundant tropical moisture. Afternoon cloud cover and rainfall timing create the main uncertainty differentiating the closely matched 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins, as earlier or heavier storms can suppress peak readings while delayed convection allows brief warming. Light southwest winds and high humidity further modulate surface heating. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily, with lower-probability tails reflecting historical variability in storm initiation and model spread on exact timing. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through September 22 will likely refine the resolution outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions