Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible on September 24, limiting daytime heating and supporting a daily maximum near 28°C. Northerly to northwesterly winds and higher humidity further moderate temperatures, consistent with a post-summer cooling pattern. Historical September baselines for Tokyo center around 25–28°C, and current model consensus shows limited upside potential beyond 29°C due to persistent cloud cover. This data distribution underpins the market’s emphasis on 27–29°C outcomes, with the leading 28°C probability reflecting the narrow forecast window two days before resolution. Updated model runs and JMA briefings on the 23rd could refine these odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月24日東京氣溫最高？
9月24日東京氣溫最高？
28°C 38%
27°C 25%
29°C 20%
31°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
23°C或以下
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
10%
26°C
11%
27°C
25%
28°C
38%
29°C
20%
30°C
11%
31°C
13%
32°C
2%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 38%
27°C 25%
29°C 20%
31°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
23°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
24°C
$0 交易量
4%
25°C
$12 交易量
10%
26°C
$21 交易量
11%
27°C
$0 交易量
25%
28°C
$50 交易量
38%
29°C
$6 交易量
20%
30°C
$5 交易量
11%
31°C
$0 交易量
13%
32°C
$0 交易量
2%
33°C或以上
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible on September 24, limiting daytime heating and supporting a daily maximum near 28°C. Northerly to northwesterly winds and higher humidity further moderate temperatures, consistent with a post-summer cooling pattern. Historical September baselines for Tokyo center around 25–28°C, and current model consensus shows limited upside potential beyond 29°C due to persistent cloud cover. This data distribution underpins the market’s emphasis on 27–29°C outcomes, with the leading 28°C probability reflecting the narrow forecast window two days before resolution. Updated model runs and JMA briefings on the 23rd could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$109結束日期
2026-09-24市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible on September 24, limiting daytime heating and supporting a daily maximum near 28°C. Northerly to northwesterly winds and higher humidity further moderate temperatures, consistent with a post-summer cooling pattern. Historical September baselines for Tokyo center around 25–28°C, and current model consensus shows limited upside potential beyond 29°C due to persistent cloud cover. This data distribution underpins the market’s emphasis on 27–29°C outcomes, with the leading 28°C probability reflecting the narrow forecast window two days before resolution. Updated model runs and JMA briefings on the 23rd could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$109結束日期
2026-09-24市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible on September 24, limiting daytime heating and supporting a daily maximum near 28°C. Northerly to northwesterly winds and higher humidity further moderate temperatures, consistent with a post-summer cooling pattern. Historical September baselines for Tokyo center around 25–28°C, and current model consensus shows limited upside potential beyond 29°C due to persistent cloud cover. This data distribution underpins the market’s emphasis on 27–29°C outcomes, with the leading 28°C probability reflecting the narrow forecast window two days before resolution. Updated model runs and JMA briefings on the 23rd could refine these odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions