Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate Seattle's September 24 low will likely settle in the low 50s°F, aligning with the market's top outcomes at 52-53°F and 50-51°F. A marine layer combined with an incoming frontal system is bringing overcast skies, light northeast winds, and a 30% chance of rain mainly after evening, which limits radiative cooling while preventing significant warming. This setup matches climatological norms for late September, when average lows hover near 51.5°F at Sea-Tac. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of official guidance around 50-53°F, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require unexpected clear skies or stronger onshore flow. Updated NWS briefings and hourly observations through the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月24日西雅圖的最低溫度？
9月24日西雅圖的最低溫度？
52-53華氏度 44%
45°F或以下 27%
50-51°F 23%
56-57°F 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
45°F或以下
27%
46-47°F
13%
48-49°F
15%
50-51°F
23%
52-53華氏度
44%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
21%
58-59°F
16%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
7%
華氏64度或更高
12%
52-53華氏度 44%
45°F或以下 27%
50-51°F 23%
56-57°F 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
45°F或以下
$10 交易量
27%
46-47°F
$36 交易量
13%
48-49°F
$0 交易量
15%
50-51°F
$0 交易量
23%
52-53華氏度
$76 交易量
44%
54-55°F
$44 交易量
11%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
21%
58-59°F
$10 交易量
16%
60-61°F
$10 交易量
7%
62-63°F
$10 交易量
7%
華氏64度或更高
$10 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate Seattle's September 24 low will likely settle in the low 50s°F, aligning with the market's top outcomes at 52-53°F and 50-51°F. A marine layer combined with an incoming frontal system is bringing overcast skies, light northeast winds, and a 30% chance of rain mainly after evening, which limits radiative cooling while preventing significant warming. This setup matches climatological norms for late September, when average lows hover near 51.5°F at Sea-Tac. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of official guidance around 50-53°F, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require unexpected clear skies or stronger onshore flow. Updated NWS briefings and hourly observations through the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
交易量
$205結束日期
2026-09-24市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate Seattle's September 24 low will likely settle in the low 50s°F, aligning with the market's top outcomes at 52-53°F and 50-51°F. A marine layer combined with an incoming frontal system is bringing overcast skies, light northeast winds, and a 30% chance of rain mainly after evening, which limits radiative cooling while preventing significant warming. This setup matches climatological norms for late September, when average lows hover near 51.5°F at Sea-Tac. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of official guidance around 50-53°F, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require unexpected clear skies or stronger onshore flow. Updated NWS briefings and hourly observations through the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$205結束日期
2026-09-24市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 7:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate Seattle's September 24 low will likely settle in the low 50s°F, aligning with the market's top outcomes at 52-53°F and 50-51°F. A marine layer combined with an incoming frontal system is bringing overcast skies, light northeast winds, and a 30% chance of rain mainly after evening, which limits radiative cooling while preventing significant warming. This setup matches climatological norms for late September, when average lows hover near 51.5°F at Sea-Tac. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of official guidance around 50-53°F, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require unexpected clear skies or stronger onshore flow. Updated NWS briefings and hourly observations through the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions