Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate a Friday high near 76-77°F for Denver under partly cloudy skies following Thursday showers, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 72-77°F bins. Post-frontal northerly flow and gradual southerly return are promoting modest diurnal warming after a cooler spell, with model consensus on limited afternoon cloud cover and light winds limiting further intensification. Historical late-September averages near 75°F provide context, while minor spread in ensemble guidance on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow differentiation between 74-75°F and 76-77°F outcomes. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely narrow resolution uncertainty before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月25日丹佛的最高溫度?
74-75°F 33%
76-77°F 27%
70-71°F 21%
78-79°F 20%
67°F或以下
6%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
5%
86°F或以上
6%
74-75°F 33%
76-77°F 27%
70-71°F 21%
78-79°F 20%
67°F或以下
6%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
5%
86°F或以上
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate a Friday high near 76-77°F for Denver under partly cloudy skies following Thursday showers, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 72-77°F bins. Post-frontal northerly flow and gradual southerly return are promoting modest diurnal warming after a cooler spell, with model consensus on limited afternoon cloud cover and light winds limiting further intensification. Historical late-September averages near 75°F provide context, while minor spread in ensemble guidance on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow differentiation between 74-75°F and 76-77°F outcomes. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely narrow resolution uncertainty before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions