**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Qingdao on September 25 centers on 22°C (44.5% implied probability), reflecting broad agreement across numerical weather models for a high near that level.** Current forecasts from multiple sources show a high of 22–23°C under cloudy skies with widespread rain or thunderstorms, driven by an approaching weather system that increases moisture and cloud cover, limiting daytime heating. Qingdao’s coastal location provides additional moderation through marine influence and southeasterly flow. Late-September climatology in the region typically features highs in the mid-20s°C, but the expected precipitation and reduced insolation are suppressing values into the low 20s. Recent model runs and observational trends from the past 48 hours have reinforced this cooler, wetter pattern without significant divergence, anchoring market-implied odds around 21–23°C while assigning low probability to outliers above 24°C or below 21°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月25日青島氣溫最高？
9月25日青島氣溫最高？
22°C 45%
23°C 25%
21°C 21%
24°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
19°C或以下
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
21%
22°C
45%
23°C
25%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
22°C 45%
23°C 25%
21°C 21%
24°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
19°C或以下
$38 交易量
2%
20°C
$368 交易量
4%
21°C
$563 交易量
21%
22°C
$300 交易量
45%
23°C
$911 交易量
25%
24°C
$55 交易量
6%
25°C
$94 交易量
1%
26°C
$201 交易量
2%
27°C
$15 交易量
<1%
28°C
$15 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Qingdao on September 25 centers on 22°C (44.5% implied probability), reflecting broad agreement across numerical weather models for a high near that level.**
Current forecasts from multiple sources show a high of 22–23°C under cloudy skies with widespread rain or thunderstorms, driven by an approaching weather system that increases moisture and cloud cover, limiting daytime heating. Qingdao’s coastal location provides additional moderation through marine influence and southeasterly flow. Late-September climatology in the region typically features highs in the mid-20s°C, but the expected precipitation and reduced insolation are suppressing values into the low 20s. Recent model runs and observational trends from the past 48 hours have reinforced this cooler, wetter pattern without significant divergence, anchoring market-implied odds around 21–23°C while assigning low probability to outliers above 24°C or below 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$2,574結束日期
2026-09-25市場開放時間
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Qingdao on September 25 centers on 22°C (44.5% implied probability), reflecting broad agreement across numerical weather models for a high near that level.**
Current forecasts from multiple sources show a high of 22–23°C under cloudy skies with widespread rain or thunderstorms, driven by an approaching weather system that increases moisture and cloud cover, limiting daytime heating. Qingdao’s coastal location provides additional moderation through marine influence and southeasterly flow. Late-September climatology in the region typically features highs in the mid-20s°C, but the expected precipitation and reduced insolation are suppressing values into the low 20s. Recent model runs and observational trends from the past 48 hours have reinforced this cooler, wetter pattern without significant divergence, anchoring market-implied odds around 21–23°C while assigning low probability to outliers above 24°C or below 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,574結束日期
2026-09-25市場開放時間
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Qingdao on September 25 centers on 22°C (44.5% implied probability), reflecting broad agreement across numerical weather models for a high near that level.** Current forecasts from multiple sources show a high of 22–23°C under cloudy skies with widespread rain or thunderstorms, driven by an approaching weather system that increases moisture and cloud cover, limiting daytime heating. Qingdao’s coastal location provides additional moderation through marine influence and southeasterly flow. Late-September climatology in the region typically features highs in the mid-20s°C, but the expected precipitation and reduced insolation are suppressing values into the low 20s. Recent model runs and observational trends from the past 48 hours have reinforced this cooler, wetter pattern without significant divergence, anchoring market-implied odds around 21–23°C while assigning low probability to outliers above 24°C or below 21°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions