Recent forecasts from models including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF place Munich's September 23 high near 18°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus drives the market-implied odds, with 18°C at 54% and 19°C at 31.5% reflecting trader alignment on stable high-pressure conditions following cooler northwest flow. Historical September averages near 18.6°C provide context, while ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours represent the key data point that could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月23日慕尼黑最高溫度？
9月23日慕尼黑最高溫度？
18°C 48%
19°C 45%
20°C 6%
17°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
13°C或以下
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
48%
19°C
45%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C或更高
1%
18°C 48%
19°C 45%
20°C 6%
17°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
13°C或以下
$5 交易量
1%
14°C
$45 交易量
2%
15°C
$45 交易量
2%
16°C
$21 交易量
2%
17°C
$258 交易量
4%
18°C
$683 交易量
48%
19°C
$511 交易量
45%
20°C
$204 交易量
6%
21°C
$146 交易量
2%
22°C
$5 交易量
2%
23°C或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF place Munich's September 23 high near 18°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus drives the market-implied odds, with 18°C at 54% and 19°C at 31.5% reflecting trader alignment on stable high-pressure conditions following cooler northwest flow. Historical September averages near 18.6°C provide context, while ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours represent the key data point that could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,929結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF place Munich's September 23 high near 18°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus drives the market-implied odds, with 18°C at 54% and 19°C at 31.5% reflecting trader alignment on stable high-pressure conditions following cooler northwest flow. Historical September averages near 18.6°C provide context, while ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours represent the key data point that could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,929結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from models including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF place Munich's September 23 high near 18°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus drives the market-implied odds, with 18°C at 54% and 19°C at 31.5% reflecting trader alignment on stable high-pressure conditions following cooler northwest flow. Historical September averages near 18.6°C provide context, while ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours represent the key data point that could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions