Clear skies and light winds overnight under a stable high-pressure system are enabling strong radiative cooling, positioning the minimum temperature in Munich near 0°C according to the latest model consensus. Official forecasts from agencies including the DWD show overnight lows in the 4–8°C range with dry conditions persisting through the 23rd, consistent with early-autumn climatology where September minima average near 9°C but can dip lower under calm, clear setups. Historical records indicate sub-zero readings are rare for this date, occurring only in outlier years like 1964. Trader consensus reflected in the 85.2% implied probability for exactly 0°C incorporates these factors alongside minor model spread on the precise overnight minimum, with resolution hinging on official station data at resolution time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月23日慕尼黑最低溫度？
9月23日慕尼黑最低溫度？
0°C 99.0%
-1°C或以下 2%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
-1°C或以下
2%
0°C
90%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C或以上
<1%
0°C 99.0%
-1°C或以下 2%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
-1°C或以下
$858 交易量
2%
0°C
$643 交易量
90%
1°C
$133 交易量
<1%
2°C
$180 交易量
<1%
3°C
$70 交易量
<1%
4°C
$388 交易量
<1%
5°C
$63 交易量
<1%
6°C
$215 交易量
<1%
7°C
$298 交易量
<1%
8°C
$225 交易量
<1%
9°C或以上
$416 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light winds overnight under a stable high-pressure system are enabling strong radiative cooling, positioning the minimum temperature in Munich near 0°C according to the latest model consensus. Official forecasts from agencies including the DWD show overnight lows in the 4–8°C range with dry conditions persisting through the 23rd, consistent with early-autumn climatology where September minima average near 9°C but can dip lower under calm, clear setups. Historical records indicate sub-zero readings are rare for this date, occurring only in outlier years like 1964. Trader consensus reflected in the 85.2% implied probability for exactly 0°C incorporates these factors alongside minor model spread on the precise overnight minimum, with resolution hinging on official station data at resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,489結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light winds overnight under a stable high-pressure system are enabling strong radiative cooling, positioning the minimum temperature in Munich near 0°C according to the latest model consensus. Official forecasts from agencies including the DWD show overnight lows in the 4–8°C range with dry conditions persisting through the 23rd, consistent with early-autumn climatology where September minima average near 9°C but can dip lower under calm, clear setups. Historical records indicate sub-zero readings are rare for this date, occurring only in outlier years like 1964. Trader consensus reflected in the 85.2% implied probability for exactly 0°C incorporates these factors alongside minor model spread on the precise overnight minimum, with resolution hinging on official station data at resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,489結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETClear skies and light winds overnight under a stable high-pressure system are enabling strong radiative cooling, positioning the minimum temperature in Munich near 0°C according to the latest model consensus. Official forecasts from agencies including the DWD show overnight lows in the 4–8°C range with dry conditions persisting through the 23rd, consistent with early-autumn climatology where September minima average near 9°C but can dip lower under calm, clear setups. Historical records indicate sub-zero readings are rare for this date, occurring only in outlier years like 1964. Trader consensus reflected in the 85.2% implied probability for exactly 0°C incorporates these factors alongside minor model spread on the precise overnight minimum, with resolution hinging on official station data at resolution time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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