Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate an overnight minimum near 5°C for Munich on September 24, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and radiative cooling under moderate humidity. This aligns with a recent cooling trend, including a 0.2°C low on September 23 that established a colder baseline than September norms of roughly 9°C. Trader consensus around 5°C at 70.5% implied probability reflects these model outputs and limited expected variability, while lower probabilities for 3°C or below account for potential forecast revisions or localized measurement differences at official stations. Updated model runs and final 24-hour observations will refine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月24日慕尼黑最低溫度？
9月24日慕尼黑最低溫度？
3°C 97%
5°C 70%
2°C或以下 57%
4°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
2°C或以下
57%
3°C
97%
4°C
30%
5°C
70%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C或更高
<1%
3°C 97%
5°C 70%
2°C或以下 57%
4°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
2°C或以下
$0 交易量
57%
3°C
$0 交易量
97%
4°C
$0 交易量
30%
5°C
$316 交易量
70%
6°C
$35 交易量
<1%
7°C
$15 交易量
<1%
8°C
$263 交易量
<1%
9°C
$15 交易量
<1%
10°C
$15 交易量
<1%
11°C
$15 交易量
<1%
12°C或更高
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate an overnight minimum near 5°C for Munich on September 24, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and radiative cooling under moderate humidity. This aligns with a recent cooling trend, including a 0.2°C low on September 23 that established a colder baseline than September norms of roughly 9°C. Trader consensus around 5°C at 70.5% implied probability reflects these model outputs and limited expected variability, while lower probabilities for 3°C or below account for potential forecast revisions or localized measurement differences at official stations. Updated model runs and final 24-hour observations will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$689結束日期
2026-09-24市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate an overnight minimum near 5°C for Munich on September 24, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and radiative cooling under moderate humidity. This aligns with a recent cooling trend, including a 0.2°C low on September 23 that established a colder baseline than September norms of roughly 9°C. Trader consensus around 5°C at 70.5% implied probability reflects these model outputs and limited expected variability, while lower probabilities for 3°C or below account for potential forecast revisions or localized measurement differences at official stations. Updated model runs and final 24-hour observations will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$689結束日期
2026-09-24市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate an overnight minimum near 5°C for Munich on September 24, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and radiative cooling under moderate humidity. This aligns with a recent cooling trend, including a 0.2°C low on September 23 that established a colder baseline than September norms of roughly 9°C. Trader consensus around 5°C at 70.5% implied probability reflects these model outputs and limited expected variability, while lower probabilities for 3°C or below account for potential forecast revisions or localized measurement differences at official stations. Updated model runs and final 24-hour observations will refine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions