Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate Austin highs on September 25 will likely reach the upper 90s, supported by a persistent subtropical ridge promoting strong subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and moisture advection. This setup sustains temperatures 8–10°F above the late-September climatological normal near 89°F, with minimal precipitation chances reducing evaporative cooling. The close split between 96–97°F and 98–99°F outcomes reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer depth, afternoon dew-point trends, and subtle model differences in ridge strength or weak seabreeze influences. Updated short-range guidance and next model cycles will refine these details ahead of the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月25日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
9月25日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
96-97°F 35%
98-99°F 31%
92-93°F 27%
94-95°F 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
華氏87度或以下
5%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
27%
94-95°F
24%
96-97°F
35%
98-99°F
31%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
8%
華氏106度或更高
6%
96-97°F 35%
98-99°F 31%
92-93°F 27%
94-95°F 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
華氏87度或以下
$0 交易量
5%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
6%
90-91°F
$11 交易量
10%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
27%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
24%
96-97°F
$0 交易量
35%
98-99°F
$0 交易量
31%
100-101°F
$0 交易量
7%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
16%
104-105°F
$0 交易量
8%
華氏106度或更高
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate Austin highs on September 25 will likely reach the upper 90s, supported by a persistent subtropical ridge promoting strong subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and moisture advection. This setup sustains temperatures 8–10°F above the late-September climatological normal near 89°F, with minimal precipitation chances reducing evaporative cooling. The close split between 96–97°F and 98–99°F outcomes reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer depth, afternoon dew-point trends, and subtle model differences in ridge strength or weak seabreeze influences. Updated short-range guidance and next model cycles will refine these details ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$11結束日期
2026-09-25市場開放時間
Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate Austin highs on September 25 will likely reach the upper 90s, supported by a persistent subtropical ridge promoting strong subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and moisture advection. This setup sustains temperatures 8–10°F above the late-September climatological normal near 89°F, with minimal precipitation chances reducing evaporative cooling. The close split between 96–97°F and 98–99°F outcomes reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer depth, afternoon dew-point trends, and subtle model differences in ridge strength or weak seabreeze influences. Updated short-range guidance and next model cycles will refine these details ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11結束日期
2026-09-25市場開放時間
Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate Austin highs on September 25 will likely reach the upper 90s, supported by a persistent subtropical ridge promoting strong subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and moisture advection. This setup sustains temperatures 8–10°F above the late-September climatological normal near 89°F, with minimal precipitation chances reducing evaporative cooling. The close split between 96–97°F and 98–99°F outcomes reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer depth, afternoon dew-point trends, and subtle model differences in ridge strength or weak seabreeze influences. Updated short-range guidance and next model cycles will refine these details ahead of the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions