Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent ridging over Texas will sustain unseasonably warm conditions into September 24, with Austin highs forecast near 95–97°F under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This above-average pattern, roughly 6–8°F warmer than the 1991–2020 climatological mean of 89°F, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 94–99°F bins. Ensemble spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle steering differences creates the modest uncertainty separating the leading outcomes, while limited precipitation chances reduce cooling potential. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月24日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
9月24日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
96-97°F 30%
94-95°F 24%
98-99華氏度 23%
92-93°F 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
89°F或以下
7%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
17%
94-95°F
24%
96-97°F
30%
98-99華氏度
23%
100-101華氏度
9%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
16%
106-107華氏度
10%
華氏108度或以上
7%
96-97°F 30%
94-95°F 24%
98-99華氏度 23%
92-93°F 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
89°F或以下
$0 交易量
7%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
12%
92-93°F
$5 交易量
17%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
24%
96-97°F
$0 交易量
30%
98-99華氏度
$0 交易量
23%
100-101華氏度
$0 交易量
9%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
5%
104-105°F
$0 交易量
16%
106-107華氏度
$0 交易量
10%
華氏108度或以上
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent ridging over Texas will sustain unseasonably warm conditions into September 24, with Austin highs forecast near 95–97°F under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This above-average pattern, roughly 6–8°F warmer than the 1991–2020 climatological mean of 89°F, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 94–99°F bins. Ensemble spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle steering differences creates the modest uncertainty separating the leading outcomes, while limited precipitation chances reduce cooling potential. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$5結束日期
2026-09-24市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent ridging over Texas will sustain unseasonably warm conditions into September 24, with Austin highs forecast near 95–97°F under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This above-average pattern, roughly 6–8°F warmer than the 1991–2020 climatological mean of 89°F, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 94–99°F bins. Ensemble spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle steering differences creates the modest uncertainty separating the leading outcomes, while limited precipitation chances reduce cooling potential. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5結束日期
2026-09-24市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent ridging over Texas will sustain unseasonably warm conditions into September 24, with Austin highs forecast near 95–97°F under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This above-average pattern, roughly 6–8°F warmer than the 1991–2020 climatological mean of 89°F, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 94–99°F bins. Ensemble spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle steering differences creates the modest uncertainty separating the leading outcomes, while limited precipitation chances reduce cooling potential. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions