Persistent northeasterly flow and lingering cloud cover from a cool air mass are limiting daytime heating across the Chicago area, with National Weather Service and private model guidance converging on a daily maximum of 65–68°F for September 24. Recent observations show highs stuck in the low-to-mid 60s amid easterly winds of 5–15 mph that suppress warming relative to the 1991–2020 September 24 average of 72.9°F. Ensemble forecasts indicate minimal warming potential before the period ends, keeping the 68–69°F bin as the market favorite while assigning lower probability to 70°F-plus outcomes that would require unexpected clearing and southerly flow. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and climatological analogs showing similar setups rarely exceed the mid-60s.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月24日芝加哥的最高溫度？
9月24日芝加哥的最高溫度？
68-69華氏度 48%
66-67°F 24%
70-71°F 20%
64-65°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
攝氏57度或以下
2%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
24%
68-69華氏度
48%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
1%
76°F或以上
<1%
68-69華氏度 48%
66-67°F 24%
70-71°F 20%
64-65°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
攝氏57度或以下
$0 交易量
2%
58-59°F
$60 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
2%
62-63°F
$51 交易量
3%
64-65°F
$30 交易量
6%
66-67°F
$543 交易量
24%
68-69華氏度
$410 交易量
48%
70-71°F
$5 交易量
16%
72-73°F
$95 交易量
4%
74-75°F
$60 交易量
1%
76°F或以上
$95 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent northeasterly flow and lingering cloud cover from a cool air mass are limiting daytime heating across the Chicago area, with National Weather Service and private model guidance converging on a daily maximum of 65–68°F for September 24. Recent observations show highs stuck in the low-to-mid 60s amid easterly winds of 5–15 mph that suppress warming relative to the 1991–2020 September 24 average of 72.9°F. Ensemble forecasts indicate minimal warming potential before the period ends, keeping the 68–69°F bin as the market favorite while assigning lower probability to 70°F-plus outcomes that would require unexpected clearing and southerly flow. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and climatological analogs showing similar setups rarely exceed the mid-60s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,349結束日期
2026-09-24市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent northeasterly flow and lingering cloud cover from a cool air mass are limiting daytime heating across the Chicago area, with National Weather Service and private model guidance converging on a daily maximum of 65–68°F for September 24. Recent observations show highs stuck in the low-to-mid 60s amid easterly winds of 5–15 mph that suppress warming relative to the 1991–2020 September 24 average of 72.9°F. Ensemble forecasts indicate minimal warming potential before the period ends, keeping the 68–69°F bin as the market favorite while assigning lower probability to 70°F-plus outcomes that would require unexpected clearing and southerly flow. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and climatological analogs showing similar setups rarely exceed the mid-60s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,349結束日期
2026-09-24市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 2:56 AM ETPersistent northeasterly flow and lingering cloud cover from a cool air mass are limiting daytime heating across the Chicago area, with National Weather Service and private model guidance converging on a daily maximum of 65–68°F for September 24. Recent observations show highs stuck in the low-to-mid 60s amid easterly winds of 5–15 mph that suppress warming relative to the 1991–2020 September 24 average of 72.9°F. Ensemble forecasts indicate minimal warming potential before the period ends, keeping the 68–69°F bin as the market favorite while assigning lower probability to 70°F-plus outcomes that would require unexpected clearing and southerly flow. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and climatological analogs showing similar setups rarely exceed the mid-60s.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions