Recent observational data from the official NOAA station at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport confirm a daily maximum of 34°C on September 22, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including elevated humidity, light southeasterly flow, and limited vertical mixing, supported peak readings in the mid-30s, consistent with model consensus and recent days' observed highs near climatological norms for the region. Scattered showers introduced minor cooling potential without suppressing the maximum below the observed threshold. While final station verification leaves little room for revision, an unexpected data correction or alternative measurement protocol could theoretically alter resolution if discrepancies emerge before market settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日廣州最高溫度？
9月22日廣州最高溫度？
34°C 100%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$37,692 交易量
$37,692 交易量
2026-09-22
27°C或以下
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C或更高
否
34°C 100%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$37,692 交易量
$37,692 交易量
2026-09-22
27°C或以下
$371 交易量
否
28°C
$1,063 交易量
否
29°C
$1,382 交易量
否
30°C
$858 交易量
否
31°C
$844 交易量
否
32°C
$1,716 交易量
否
33°C
$2,715 交易量
否
34°C
$6,868 交易量
是
35°C
$4,754 交易量
否
36°C
$7,964 交易量
否
37°C或更高
$9,157 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from the official NOAA station at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport confirm a daily maximum of 34°C on September 22, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including elevated humidity, light southeasterly flow, and limited vertical mixing, supported peak readings in the mid-30s, consistent with model consensus and recent days' observed highs near climatological norms for the region. Scattered showers introduced minor cooling potential without suppressing the maximum below the observed threshold. While final station verification leaves little room for revision, an unexpected data correction or alternative measurement protocol could theoretically alter resolution if discrepancies emerge before market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$37,692結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from the official NOAA station at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport confirm a daily maximum of 34°C on September 22, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including elevated humidity, light southeasterly flow, and limited vertical mixing, supported peak readings in the mid-30s, consistent with model consensus and recent days' observed highs near climatological norms for the region. Scattered showers introduced minor cooling potential without suppressing the maximum below the observed threshold. While final station verification leaves little room for revision, an unexpected data correction or alternative measurement protocol could theoretically alter resolution if discrepancies emerge before market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,692結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent observational data from the official NOAA station at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport confirm a daily maximum of 34°C on September 22, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including elevated humidity, light southeasterly flow, and limited vertical mixing, supported peak readings in the mid-30s, consistent with model consensus and recent days' observed highs near climatological norms for the region. Scattered showers introduced minor cooling potential without suppressing the maximum below the observed threshold. While final station verification leaves little room for revision, an unexpected data correction or alternative measurement protocol could theoretically alter resolution if discrepancies emerge before market settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions