Official National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 97°F for Houston on September 23 under sunny skies and light northeast winds, supporting the market's concentration on 94–97°F bins. Persistent high pressure and above-normal September temperatures—recent daily maxima have reached 97–99°F—favor strong solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to suppress readings. Heat index values near 105°F reflect elevated humidity, yet dry air advection keeps surface temperatures in the upper 90s rather than pushing into triple digits. Model consensus shows limited variability, aligning trader-implied odds with observed climatological trends and real-time station data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月23日休斯敦的最高溫度?
94-95°F 57%
96-97°F 26%
華氏92-93度 11%
98-99華氏度 5%
85°F或以下
1%
86-87華氏度
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90-91度
4%
華氏92-93度
11%
94-95°F
57%
96-97°F
26%
98-99華氏度
5%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
<1%
華氏104度或更高
<1%
94-95°F 57%
96-97°F 26%
華氏92-93度 11%
98-99華氏度 5%
85°F或以下
1%
86-87華氏度
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90-91度
4%
華氏92-93度
11%
94-95°F
57%
96-97°F
26%
98-99華氏度
5%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
<1%
華氏104度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 97°F for Houston on September 23 under sunny skies and light northeast winds, supporting the market's concentration on 94–97°F bins. Persistent high pressure and above-normal September temperatures—recent daily maxima have reached 97–99°F—favor strong solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to suppress readings. Heat index values near 105°F reflect elevated humidity, yet dry air advection keeps surface temperatures in the upper 90s rather than pushing into triple digits. Model consensus shows limited variability, aligning trader-implied odds with observed climatological trends and real-time station data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions