Trader consensus has locked onto a 17°C maximum for Warsaw on September 22 because official station observations and real-time model runs from sources aligned with the Polish meteorological service converged on that exact peak under persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northwest flow. Hourly data showed temperatures climbing to 17°C in the afternoon before falling through the evening, consistent with seasonal norms for late September and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky heating. With resolution criteria tied to verified daily maxima, the market-implied odds reflect near-certainty once afternoon readings confirmed no higher values. Only an undetected station error or post-observation revision could alter the outcome at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日華沙的最高溫度？
9月22日華沙的最高溫度？
17°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$42,961 交易量
$42,961 交易量
2026-09-22
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或以上
否
17°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$42,961 交易量
$42,961 交易量
2026-09-22
11°C或以下
$146 交易量
否
12°C
$272 交易量
否
13°C
$674 交易量
否
14°C
$5,547 交易量
否
15°C
$11,007 交易量
否
16°C
$7,339 交易量
否
17°C
$11,340 交易量
是
18°C
$4,554 交易量
否
19°C
$1,795 交易量
否
20°C
$111 交易量
否
21°C或以上
$176 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked onto a 17°C maximum for Warsaw on September 22 because official station observations and real-time model runs from sources aligned with the Polish meteorological service converged on that exact peak under persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northwest flow. Hourly data showed temperatures climbing to 17°C in the afternoon before falling through the evening, consistent with seasonal norms for late September and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky heating. With resolution criteria tied to verified daily maxima, the market-implied odds reflect near-certainty once afternoon readings confirmed no higher values. Only an undetected station error or post-observation revision could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$42,961結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked onto a 17°C maximum for Warsaw on September 22 because official station observations and real-time model runs from sources aligned with the Polish meteorological service converged on that exact peak under persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northwest flow. Hourly data showed temperatures climbing to 17°C in the afternoon before falling through the evening, consistent with seasonal norms for late September and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky heating. With resolution criteria tied to verified daily maxima, the market-implied odds reflect near-certainty once afternoon readings confirmed no higher values. Only an undetected station error or post-observation revision could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$42,961結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus has locked onto a 17°C maximum for Warsaw on September 22 because official station observations and real-time model runs from sources aligned with the Polish meteorological service converged on that exact peak under persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northwest flow. Hourly data showed temperatures climbing to 17°C in the afternoon before falling through the evening, consistent with seasonal norms for late September and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky heating. With resolution criteria tied to verified daily maxima, the market-implied odds reflect near-certainty once afternoon readings confirmed no higher values. Only an undetected station error or post-observation revision could alter the outcome at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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