**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C daily maximum in Seoul/Incheon on September 20 reflects current observational data and short-range forecast agreement from regional models.** Clear to mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and dew points in the low-to-mid teens Celsius have supported gradual daytime warming without significant moisture or cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Official monitoring from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration aligns with this peak under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-September in the region, where historical averages hover near 25–27°C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing or localized sea-breeze effects from Incheon could still produce a 1°C revision before final daily reporting, though late-day observations make larger deviations unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
9月20日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
26°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$76,278 交易量
$76,278 交易量
2026-09-20
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$76,278 交易量
$76,278 交易量
2026-09-20
21°C或以下
$261 交易量
否
22°C
$135 交易量
否
23°C
$1,827 交易量
否
24°C
$4,227 交易量
否
25°C
$23,496 交易量
否
26°C
$14,473 交易量
是
27°C
$12,770 交易量
否
28°C
$8,128 交易量
否
29°C
$6,550 交易量
否
30°C
$1,771 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$2,640 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C daily maximum in Seoul/Incheon on September 20 reflects current observational data and short-range forecast agreement from regional models.** Clear to mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and dew points in the low-to-mid teens Celsius have supported gradual daytime warming without significant moisture or cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Official monitoring from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration aligns with this peak under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-September in the region, where historical averages hover near 25–27°C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing or localized sea-breeze effects from Incheon could still produce a 1°C revision before final daily reporting, though late-day observations make larger deviations unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$76,278結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C daily maximum in Seoul/Incheon on September 20 reflects current observational data and short-range forecast agreement from regional models.** Clear to mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and dew points in the low-to-mid teens Celsius have supported gradual daytime warming without significant moisture or cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Official monitoring from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration aligns with this peak under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-September in the region, where historical averages hover near 25–27°C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing or localized sea-breeze effects from Incheon could still produce a 1°C revision before final daily reporting, though late-day observations make larger deviations unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$76,278結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C daily maximum in Seoul/Incheon on September 20 reflects current observational data and short-range forecast agreement from regional models.** Clear to mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and dew points in the low-to-mid teens Celsius have supported gradual daytime warming without significant moisture or cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Official monitoring from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration aligns with this peak under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-September in the region, where historical averages hover near 25–27°C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing or localized sea-breeze effects from Incheon could still produce a 1°C revision before final daily reporting, though late-day observations make larger deviations unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions