Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to clear skies, light northeast winds, and dry high-pressure conditions favoring a Paris high of 24–25°C on September 22, well above the 1991–2020 average of 20.6°C. Official guidance shows minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, with afternoon peaks most likely near 24°C and only modest potential to reach 25°C under optimal insolation. This atmospheric setup explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (65.5%) and 25°C (30.5%), as traders align with the narrow, stable temperature range projected by current runs. Updated model outputs and any last-minute shifts in ridge positioning will be the key near-term variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴黎9月22日的最高溫度？
巴黎9月22日的最高溫度？
24°C 66%
25°C 31%
26°C 4%
23°C 3%
最新
$10,291 交易量
最新
$10,291 交易量
2026-09-22
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
66%
25°C
31%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
24°C 66%
25°C 31%
26°C 4%
23°C 3%
最新
$10,291 交易量
最新
$10,291 交易量
2026-09-22
19°C或以下
$1,334 交易量
<1%
20°C
$773 交易量
<1%
21°C
$120 交易量
<1%
22°C
$333 交易量
<1%
23°C
$809 交易量
3%
24°C
$3,347 交易量
66%
25°C
$1,620 交易量
31%
26°C
$1,078 交易量
4%
27°C
$416 交易量
<1%
28°C
$115 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$345 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to clear skies, light northeast winds, and dry high-pressure conditions favoring a Paris high of 24–25°C on September 22, well above the 1991–2020 average of 20.6°C. Official guidance shows minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, with afternoon peaks most likely near 24°C and only modest potential to reach 25°C under optimal insolation. This atmospheric setup explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (65.5%) and 25°C (30.5%), as traders align with the narrow, stable temperature range projected by current runs. Updated model outputs and any last-minute shifts in ridge positioning will be the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$10,291結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to clear skies, light northeast winds, and dry high-pressure conditions favoring a Paris high of 24–25°C on September 22, well above the 1991–2020 average of 20.6°C. Official guidance shows minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, with afternoon peaks most likely near 24°C and only modest potential to reach 25°C under optimal insolation. This atmospheric setup explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (65.5%) and 25°C (30.5%), as traders align with the narrow, stable temperature range projected by current runs. Updated model outputs and any last-minute shifts in ridge positioning will be the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,291結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from multiple models points to clear skies, light northeast winds, and dry high-pressure conditions favoring a Paris high of 24–25°C on September 22, well above the 1991–2020 average of 20.6°C. Official guidance shows minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, with afternoon peaks most likely near 24°C and only modest potential to reach 25°C under optimal insolation. This atmospheric setup explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (65.5%) and 25°C (30.5%), as traders align with the narrow, stable temperature range projected by current runs. Updated model outputs and any last-minute shifts in ridge positioning will be the key near-term variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions