**Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS data and agency outlooks, indicate Manila's daily high on September 15 will reach 31°C amid typical monsoon-season conditions of scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80-90%, and light winds.** This aligns with September climatology showing average highs of 30-32°C and supports the market's near-100% implied probability for exactly 31°C as the peak. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of ensemble predictions and absence of signals for significant deviation. A realistic challenge could arise from prolonged clearing that allows greater solar heating or heavier rainfall suppressing the maximum, though current guidance shows low likelihood of either extreme.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
9月15日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
31°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$43,401 交易量
$43,401 交易量
2026-09-15
27°C或以下
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C或更高
否
31°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$43,401 交易量
$43,401 交易量
2026-09-15
27°C或以下
$66 交易量
否
28°C
$20 交易量
否
29°C
$357 交易量
否
30°C
$12,951 交易量
否
31°C
$11,526 交易量
是
32°C
$6,595 交易量
否
33°C
$8,130 交易量
否
34°C
$2,978 交易量
否
35°C
$696 交易量
否
36°C
$66 交易量
否
37°C或更高
$16 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS data and agency outlooks, indicate Manila's daily high on September 15 will reach 31°C amid typical monsoon-season conditions of scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80-90%, and light winds.** This aligns with September climatology showing average highs of 30-32°C and supports the market's near-100% implied probability for exactly 31°C as the peak. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of ensemble predictions and absence of signals for significant deviation. A realistic challenge could arise from prolonged clearing that allows greater solar heating or heavier rainfall suppressing the maximum, though current guidance shows low likelihood of either extreme.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
交易量
$43,401結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS data and agency outlooks, indicate Manila's daily high on September 15 will reach 31°C amid typical monsoon-season conditions of scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80-90%, and light winds.** This aligns with September climatology showing average highs of 30-32°C and supports the market's near-100% implied probability for exactly 31°C as the peak. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of ensemble predictions and absence of signals for significant deviation. A realistic challenge could arise from prolonged clearing that allows greater solar heating or heavier rainfall suppressing the maximum, though current guidance shows low likelihood of either extreme.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$43,401結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS data and agency outlooks, indicate Manila's daily high on September 15 will reach 31°C amid typical monsoon-season conditions of scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80-90%, and light winds.** This aligns with September climatology showing average highs of 30-32°C and supports the market's near-100% implied probability for exactly 31°C as the peak. Trader consensus reflects the tight clustering of ensemble predictions and absence of signals for significant deviation. A realistic challenge could arise from prolonged clearing that allows greater solar heating or heavier rainfall suppressing the maximum, though current guidance shows low likelihood of either extreme.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions