Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show Madrid under stable high pressure with light northeasterly winds and mostly clear skies on September 18, supporting daytime highs centered around 27–28°C after overnight lows near 15–16°C. These conditions align with seasonal norms for mid-September, where average highs reach about 26°C, and limited cloud cover or moisture should permit typical solar heating without significant suppression or enhancement. Minor ensemble spread keeps 29°C in play but reduces odds for extremes, while the market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on the most probable afternoon peak measured at official stations. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日馬德裏氣溫最高？
9月18日馬德裏氣溫最高？
28°C 53%
27°C 23%
29°C 22%
26°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
23%
28°C
53%
29°C
22%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
28°C 53%
27°C 23%
29°C 22%
26°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
22°C或以下
$103 交易量
<1%
23°C
$103 交易量
<1%
24°C
$322 交易量
<1%
25°C
$96 交易量
<1%
26°C
$439 交易量
3%
27°C
$1,750 交易量
23%
28°C
$2,106 交易量
53%
29°C
$2,824 交易量
22%
30°C
$96 交易量
1%
31°C
$116 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$338 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show Madrid under stable high pressure with light northeasterly winds and mostly clear skies on September 18, supporting daytime highs centered around 27–28°C after overnight lows near 15–16°C. These conditions align with seasonal norms for mid-September, where average highs reach about 26°C, and limited cloud cover or moisture should permit typical solar heating without significant suppression or enhancement. Minor ensemble spread keeps 29°C in play but reduces odds for extremes, while the market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on the most probable afternoon peak measured at official stations. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$8,293結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show Madrid under stable high pressure with light northeasterly winds and mostly clear skies on September 18, supporting daytime highs centered around 27–28°C after overnight lows near 15–16°C. These conditions align with seasonal norms for mid-September, where average highs reach about 26°C, and limited cloud cover or moisture should permit typical solar heating without significant suppression or enhancement. Minor ensemble spread keeps 29°C in play but reduces odds for extremes, while the market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on the most probable afternoon peak measured at official stations. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,293結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show Madrid under stable high pressure with light northeasterly winds and mostly clear skies on September 18, supporting daytime highs centered around 27–28°C after overnight lows near 15–16°C. These conditions align with seasonal norms for mid-September, where average highs reach about 26°C, and limited cloud cover or moisture should permit typical solar heating without significant suppression or enhancement. Minor ensemble spread keeps 29°C in play but reduces odds for extremes, while the market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on the most probable afternoon peak measured at official stations. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions