**Recent observational data from Shenzhen meteorological stations show daytime highs peaking near 32°C under stable sunny conditions with light southeasterly winds, establishing the market's near-certain outcome.** Hourly readings reached 32.4°C midday before easing, consistent with official forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 32°C and minimal deviation risk. This consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than model projections, with subtropical high pressure maintaining clear skies and typical September humidity levels supporting the observed range. The sole realistic challenge would involve post-event data revisions or station-specific anomalies, though current trends and climatological baselines make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日深圳最高溫度？
9月18日深圳最高溫度？
32°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$50,093 交易量
$50,093 交易量
2026-09-18
28°C或以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
是
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C或以上
否
32°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$50,093 交易量
$50,093 交易量
2026-09-18
28°C或以下
$199 交易量
否
29°C
$557 交易量
否
30°C
$3,509 交易量
否
31°C
$10,201 交易量
否
32°C
$8,063 交易量
是
33°C
$12,440 交易量
否
34°C
$10,668 交易量
否
35°C
$2,531 交易量
否
36°C
$1,189 交易量
否
37°C
$610 交易量
否
38°C或以上
$127 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent observational data from Shenzhen meteorological stations show daytime highs peaking near 32°C under stable sunny conditions with light southeasterly winds, establishing the market's near-certain outcome.** Hourly readings reached 32.4°C midday before easing, consistent with official forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 32°C and minimal deviation risk. This consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than model projections, with subtropical high pressure maintaining clear skies and typical September humidity levels supporting the observed range. The sole realistic challenge would involve post-event data revisions or station-specific anomalies, though current trends and climatological baselines make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$50,093結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent observational data from Shenzhen meteorological stations show daytime highs peaking near 32°C under stable sunny conditions with light southeasterly winds, establishing the market's near-certain outcome.** Hourly readings reached 32.4°C midday before easing, consistent with official forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 32°C and minimal deviation risk. This consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than model projections, with subtropical high pressure maintaining clear skies and typical September humidity levels supporting the observed range. The sole realistic challenge would involve post-event data revisions or station-specific anomalies, though current trends and climatological baselines make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$50,093結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Recent observational data from Shenzhen meteorological stations show daytime highs peaking near 32°C under stable sunny conditions with light southeasterly winds, establishing the market's near-certain outcome.** Hourly readings reached 32.4°C midday before easing, consistent with official forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 32°C and minimal deviation risk. This consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than model projections, with subtropical high pressure maintaining clear skies and typical September humidity levels supporting the observed range. The sole realistic challenge would involve post-event data revisions or station-specific anomalies, though current trends and climatological baselines make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions