Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show a tight cluster of possible daily maxima in Chengdu around 23–25°C on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity typical of the Sichuan Basin in mid-September. Topographic trapping of moisture limits solar insolation and compresses the diurnal temperature range, while variable shower timing introduces forecast uncertainty that keeps trader probabilities closely split among the leading outcomes. Real-time station observations will resolve the exact peak, with any breaks in cloud allowing brief warming toward 26°C or prolonged rain holding values nearer 23°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日成都最高溫度？
9月16日成都最高溫度？
24°C 30%
25°C 25%
23°C 21%
26°C 10%
最新
$27,432 交易量
最新
$27,432 交易量
2026-09-16
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
21%
24°C
30%
25°C
25%
26°C
10%
27°C
1%
28°C或更高
<1%
24°C 30%
25°C 25%
23°C 21%
26°C 10%
最新
$27,432 交易量
最新
$27,432 交易量
2026-09-16
18°C或以下
$473 交易量
<1%
19°C
$2,400 交易量
<1%
20°C
$2,159 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,740 交易量
3%
22°C
$1,281 交易量
10%
23°C
$3,995 交易量
21%
24°C
$4,958 交易量
30%
25°C
$2,877 交易量
25%
26°C
$3,729 交易量
10%
27°C
$2,118 交易量
1%
28°C或更高
$1,703 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show a tight cluster of possible daily maxima in Chengdu around 23–25°C on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity typical of the Sichuan Basin in mid-September. Topographic trapping of moisture limits solar insolation and compresses the diurnal temperature range, while variable shower timing introduces forecast uncertainty that keeps trader probabilities closely split among the leading outcomes. Real-time station observations will resolve the exact peak, with any breaks in cloud allowing brief warming toward 26°C or prolonged rain holding values nearer 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$27,432結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show a tight cluster of possible daily maxima in Chengdu around 23–25°C on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity typical of the Sichuan Basin in mid-September. Topographic trapping of moisture limits solar insolation and compresses the diurnal temperature range, while variable shower timing introduces forecast uncertainty that keeps trader probabilities closely split among the leading outcomes. Real-time station observations will resolve the exact peak, with any breaks in cloud allowing brief warming toward 26°C or prolonged rain holding values nearer 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$27,432結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show a tight cluster of possible daily maxima in Chengdu around 23–25°C on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity typical of the Sichuan Basin in mid-September. Topographic trapping of moisture limits solar insolation and compresses the diurnal temperature range, while variable shower timing introduces forecast uncertainty that keeps trader probabilities closely split among the leading outcomes. Real-time station observations will resolve the exact peak, with any breaks in cloud allowing brief warming toward 26°C or prolonged rain holding values nearer 23°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions