Traders have converged on 28°C as the highest temperature in Qingdao on September 18, 2026, reflecting real-time surface observations from local stations under mostly cloudy skies with light southeasterly flow. This outcome aligns with model consensus from regional forecasts showing afternoon peaks near that threshold amid typical early-autumn marine influence and moderate humidity levels around 70%. Official data from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration confirm the daily maximum through calibrated thermometer readings, distinguishing verified measurements from earlier projections. Scenarios that could challenge this include rapid clearing skies boosting insolation or unseasonal warm advection, though current conditions and historical September baselines make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日青島氣溫最高？
9月18日青島氣溫最高？
28°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,067 交易量
$24,067 交易量
2026-09-18
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
28°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,067 交易量
$24,067 交易量
2026-09-18
21°C或以下
$41 交易量
否
22°C
$41 交易量
否
23°C
$41 交易量
否
24°C
$268 交易量
否
25°C
$280 交易量
否
26°C
$701 交易量
否
27°C
$2,491 交易量
否
28°C
$8,995 交易量
是
29°C
$5,302 交易量
否
30°C
$4,019 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$1,887 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 28°C as the highest temperature in Qingdao on September 18, 2026, reflecting real-time surface observations from local stations under mostly cloudy skies with light southeasterly flow. This outcome aligns with model consensus from regional forecasts showing afternoon peaks near that threshold amid typical early-autumn marine influence and moderate humidity levels around 70%. Official data from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration confirm the daily maximum through calibrated thermometer readings, distinguishing verified measurements from earlier projections. Scenarios that could challenge this include rapid clearing skies boosting insolation or unseasonal warm advection, though current conditions and historical September baselines make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$24,067結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 28°C as the highest temperature in Qingdao on September 18, 2026, reflecting real-time surface observations from local stations under mostly cloudy skies with light southeasterly flow. This outcome aligns with model consensus from regional forecasts showing afternoon peaks near that threshold amid typical early-autumn marine influence and moderate humidity levels around 70%. Official data from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration confirm the daily maximum through calibrated thermometer readings, distinguishing verified measurements from earlier projections. Scenarios that could challenge this include rapid clearing skies boosting insolation or unseasonal warm advection, though current conditions and historical September baselines make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,067結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders have converged on 28°C as the highest temperature in Qingdao on September 18, 2026, reflecting real-time surface observations from local stations under mostly cloudy skies with light southeasterly flow. This outcome aligns with model consensus from regional forecasts showing afternoon peaks near that threshold amid typical early-autumn marine influence and moderate humidity levels around 70%. Official data from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration confirm the daily maximum through calibrated thermometer readings, distinguishing verified measurements from earlier projections. Scenarios that could challenge this include rapid clearing skies boosting insolation or unseasonal warm advection, though current conditions and historical September baselines make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions