Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow's maximum temperature on September 18 stabilizing at 16°C under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 15.8°C, reinforced by real-time station reports confirming no significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating to push readings higher. Trader consensus at 16°C with full implied probability reflects the tight clustering of ensemble forecasts and ongoing surface observations, leaving little room for deviation by day's end. Only an unforeseen late-day spike from localized clear skies or measurement adjustments at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日莫斯科的最高溫度？
9月18日莫斯科的最高溫度？
16°C 100%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$37,608 交易量
$37,608 交易量
2026-09-18
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或以上
否
16°C 100%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$37,608 交易量
$37,608 交易量
2026-09-18
10°C或以下
$349 交易量
否
11°C
$31 交易量
否
12°C
$31 交易量
否
13°C
$31 交易量
否
14°C
$1,616 交易量
否
15°C
$5,584 交易量
否
16°C
$6,914 交易量
是
17°C
$6,988 交易量
否
18°C
$10,199 交易量
否
19°C
$3,159 交易量
否
20°C或以上
$2,707 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow's maximum temperature on September 18 stabilizing at 16°C under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 15.8°C, reinforced by real-time station reports confirming no significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating to push readings higher. Trader consensus at 16°C with full implied probability reflects the tight clustering of ensemble forecasts and ongoing surface observations, leaving little room for deviation by day's end. Only an unforeseen late-day spike from localized clear skies or measurement adjustments at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$37,608結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow's maximum temperature on September 18 stabilizing at 16°C under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 15.8°C, reinforced by real-time station reports confirming no significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating to push readings higher. Trader consensus at 16°C with full implied probability reflects the tight clustering of ensemble forecasts and ongoing surface observations, leaving little room for deviation by day's end. Only an unforeseen late-day spike from localized clear skies or measurement adjustments at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,608結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow's maximum temperature on September 18 stabilizing at 16°C under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 15.8°C, reinforced by real-time station reports confirming no significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating to push readings higher. Trader consensus at 16°C with full implied probability reflects the tight clustering of ensemble forecasts and ongoing surface observations, leaving little room for deviation by day's end. Only an unforeseen late-day spike from localized clear skies or measurement adjustments at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions