Forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Manila's September 18 high will likely reach 30–32 °C under the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, isolated thunderstorms, and light winds limiting peak heating. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-September, when daytime maxima average near 31 °C amid high humidity and frequent convection. Recent updates show consistent model consensus around 31 °C, with modest upward revisions in some runs tied to brief clearer intervals; traders assign the highest implied probability to 32 °C because historical analogs and current steering patterns favor brief afternoon warming before widespread rain develops. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market once maximum temperature is recorded at the primary Manila station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
9月18日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
32°C 41%
33°C 25%
31°C 24%
30°C 8%
最新
$13,559 交易量
最新
$13,559 交易量
2026-09-18
28°C或以下
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
24%
32°C
41%
33°C
25%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
32°C 41%
33°C 25%
31°C 24%
30°C 8%
最新
$13,559 交易量
最新
$13,559 交易量
2026-09-18
28°C或以下
$102 交易量
2%
29°C
$298 交易量
2%
30°C
$1,065 交易量
8%
31°C
$3,182 交易量
24%
32°C
$1,830 交易量
41%
33°C
$5,494 交易量
25%
34°C
$1,039 交易量
4%
35°C
$32 交易量
1%
36°C
$123 交易量
<1%
37°C
$169 交易量
<1%
38°C或更高
$225 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Manila's September 18 high will likely reach 30–32 °C under the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, isolated thunderstorms, and light winds limiting peak heating. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-September, when daytime maxima average near 31 °C amid high humidity and frequent convection. Recent updates show consistent model consensus around 31 °C, with modest upward revisions in some runs tied to brief clearer intervals; traders assign the highest implied probability to 32 °C because historical analogs and current steering patterns favor brief afternoon warming before widespread rain develops. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market once maximum temperature is recorded at the primary Manila station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$13,559結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Manila's September 18 high will likely reach 30–32 °C under the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, isolated thunderstorms, and light winds limiting peak heating. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-September, when daytime maxima average near 31 °C amid high humidity and frequent convection. Recent updates show consistent model consensus around 31 °C, with modest upward revisions in some runs tied to brief clearer intervals; traders assign the highest implied probability to 32 °C because historical analogs and current steering patterns favor brief afternoon warming before widespread rain develops. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market once maximum temperature is recorded at the primary Manila station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,559結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETForecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Manila's September 18 high will likely reach 30–32 °C under the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, isolated thunderstorms, and light winds limiting peak heating. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-September, when daytime maxima average near 31 °C amid high humidity and frequent convection. Recent updates show consistent model consensus around 31 °C, with modest upward revisions in some runs tied to brief clearer intervals; traders assign the highest implied probability to 32 °C because historical analogs and current steering patterns favor brief afternoon warming before widespread rain develops. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market once maximum temperature is recorded at the primary Manila station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions