**Trader consensus has coalesced on 21°C as the day's highest temperature in Chengdu, reflecting official meteorological observations confirming that peak amid widespread cloud cover and intermittent showers.** Persistent rain and high humidity suppressed daytime warming, consistent with mid-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin where seasonal cooling and frontal activity typically limit highs to the upper teens or low 20s Celsius. Model guidance from regional forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, showing limited potential for brief breaks in the overcast that might have allowed a spike to 22°C or above. The near-certain market pricing underscores the low likelihood of revision once final station data are verified, though minor adjustments could arise from differences between airport and urban monitoring sites or post-analysis quality control. No major forecast shifts occurred in the final 48 hours to alter this trajectory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日成都最高溫度？
9月15日成都最高溫度？
21°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$41,547 交易量
$41,547 交易量
2026-09-15
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
21°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$41,547 交易量
$41,547 交易量
2026-09-15
16°C或以下
$185 交易量
否
17°C
$392 交易量
否
18°C
$2,636 交易量
否
19°C
$6,104 交易量
否
20°C
$8,824 交易量
否
21°C
$6,443 交易量
是
22°C
$3,948 交易量
否
23°C
$6,011 交易量
否
24°C
$2,155 交易量
否
25°C
$1,162 交易量
否
26°C或更高
$3,687 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced on 21°C as the day's highest temperature in Chengdu, reflecting official meteorological observations confirming that peak amid widespread cloud cover and intermittent showers.** Persistent rain and high humidity suppressed daytime warming, consistent with mid-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin where seasonal cooling and frontal activity typically limit highs to the upper teens or low 20s Celsius. Model guidance from regional forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, showing limited potential for brief breaks in the overcast that might have allowed a spike to 22°C or above. The near-certain market pricing underscores the low likelihood of revision once final station data are verified, though minor adjustments could arise from differences between airport and urban monitoring sites or post-analysis quality control. No major forecast shifts occurred in the final 48 hours to alter this trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
交易量
$41,547結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced on 21°C as the day's highest temperature in Chengdu, reflecting official meteorological observations confirming that peak amid widespread cloud cover and intermittent showers.** Persistent rain and high humidity suppressed daytime warming, consistent with mid-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin where seasonal cooling and frontal activity typically limit highs to the upper teens or low 20s Celsius. Model guidance from regional forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, showing limited potential for brief breaks in the overcast that might have allowed a spike to 22°C or above. The near-certain market pricing underscores the low likelihood of revision once final station data are verified, though minor adjustments could arise from differences between airport and urban monitoring sites or post-analysis quality control. No major forecast shifts occurred in the final 48 hours to alter this trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41,547結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus has coalesced on 21°C as the day's highest temperature in Chengdu, reflecting official meteorological observations confirming that peak amid widespread cloud cover and intermittent showers.** Persistent rain and high humidity suppressed daytime warming, consistent with mid-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin where seasonal cooling and frontal activity typically limit highs to the upper teens or low 20s Celsius. Model guidance from regional forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, showing limited potential for brief breaks in the overcast that might have allowed a spike to 22°C or above. The near-certain market pricing underscores the low likelihood of revision once final station data are verified, though minor adjustments could arise from differences between airport and urban monitoring sites or post-analysis quality control. No major forecast shifts occurred in the final 48 hours to alter this trajectory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions