**Forecast models from sources including GFS and agency guidance point to a daily maximum near 28°C in Shanghai on September 15, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions and northeasterly flow.** Mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk and moderate humidity support this outcome, consistent with mid-September climatology where average highs hover around 27–28°C. Recent model runs show little disagreement, with hourly data clustering between 27–29°C and limited potential for brief spikes or cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 66.5% implied probability for 28°C, aligns with this consensus forecast, while the 27% share for 27°C and 9% for 29°C capture residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local measurement. Updated briefings closer to the date will refine these probabilities as new observational data arrives.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日上海最高溫度？
9月15日上海最高溫度？
28°C 64%
27°C 22%
29°C 16%
30°C <1%
最新
$13,073 交易量
最新
$13,073 交易量
2026-09-15
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
22%
28°C
64%
29°C
16%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
28°C 64%
27°C 22%
29°C 16%
30°C <1%
最新
$13,073 交易量
最新
$13,073 交易量
2026-09-15
24°C或以下
$198 交易量
<1%
25°C
$518 交易量
<1%
26°C
$616 交易量
<1%
27°C
$5,174 交易量
22%
28°C
$2,637 交易量
64%
29°C
$1,961 交易量
16%
30°C
$829 交易量
<1%
31°C
$458 交易量
<1%
32°C
$293 交易量
<1%
33°C
$243 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$238 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS and agency guidance point to a daily maximum near 28°C in Shanghai on September 15, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions and northeasterly flow.**
Mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk and moderate humidity support this outcome, consistent with mid-September climatology where average highs hover around 27–28°C. Recent model runs show little disagreement, with hourly data clustering between 27–29°C and limited potential for brief spikes or cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 66.5% implied probability for 28°C, aligns with this consensus forecast, while the 27% share for 27°C and 9% for 29°C capture residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local measurement. Updated briefings closer to the date will refine these probabilities as new observational data arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
交易量
$13,073結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS and agency guidance point to a daily maximum near 28°C in Shanghai on September 15, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions and northeasterly flow.**
Mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk and moderate humidity support this outcome, consistent with mid-September climatology where average highs hover around 27–28°C. Recent model runs show little disagreement, with hourly data clustering between 27–29°C and limited potential for brief spikes or cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 66.5% implied probability for 28°C, aligns with this consensus forecast, while the 27% share for 27°C and 9% for 29°C capture residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local measurement. Updated briefings closer to the date will refine these probabilities as new observational data arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,073結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET**Forecast models from sources including GFS and agency guidance point to a daily maximum near 28°C in Shanghai on September 15, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions and northeasterly flow.** Mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk and moderate humidity support this outcome, consistent with mid-September climatology where average highs hover around 27–28°C. Recent model runs show little disagreement, with hourly data clustering between 27–29°C and limited potential for brief spikes or cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 66.5% implied probability for 28°C, aligns with this consensus forecast, while the 27% share for 27°C and 9% for 29°C capture residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local measurement. Updated briefings closer to the date will refine these probabilities as new observational data arrives.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions