**Recent forecasts position a high near 75°F as the most probable outcome for New York City on September 14, 2026.** Multiple model runs and short-range guidance indicate northwest flow behind a frontal passage will deliver cooler, drier air, supporting daytime maxima of 74–76°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with only a low chance of light morning drizzle. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 76–77°F bin. Historical climatology for mid-September in NYC shows average highs around 73–75°F, so the current setup sits close to seasonal norms rather than an outlier warm or cool episode. Traders appear focused on the narrow spread between official NWS guidance and ensemble means, with limited upside risk from lingering moisture or delayed clearing. The next key updates—afternoon model cycles and the National Weather Service’s extended forecast—will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the adjacent 74–75°F or 78–79°F ranges before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月14日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月14日的最高溫度？
76-77°F 56%
74-75°F 18%
78-79°F 15%
70-71°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
65°F或以下
1%
66-67華氏度
<1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
7%
72-73華氏度
6%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
56%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84華氏度或更高
2%
76-77°F 56%
74-75°F 18%
78-79°F 15%
70-71°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
65°F或以下
$11 交易量
1%
66-67華氏度
$11 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
3%
70-71°F
$12 交易量
7%
72-73華氏度
$0 交易量
6%
74-75°F
$182 交易量
18%
76-77°F
$669 交易量
56%
78-79°F
$756 交易量
15%
80-81°F
$5 交易量
6%
82-83°F
$38 交易量
2%
84華氏度或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts position a high near 75°F as the most probable outcome for New York City on September 14, 2026.** Multiple model runs and short-range guidance indicate northwest flow behind a frontal passage will deliver cooler, drier air, supporting daytime maxima of 74–76°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with only a low chance of light morning drizzle. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 76–77°F bin. Historical climatology for mid-September in NYC shows average highs around 73–75°F, so the current setup sits close to seasonal norms rather than an outlier warm or cool episode. Traders appear focused on the narrow spread between official NWS guidance and ensemble means, with limited upside risk from lingering moisture or delayed clearing. The next key updates—afternoon model cycles and the National Weather Service’s extended forecast—will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the adjacent 74–75°F or 78–79°F ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,686結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts position a high near 75°F as the most probable outcome for New York City on September 14, 2026.** Multiple model runs and short-range guidance indicate northwest flow behind a frontal passage will deliver cooler, drier air, supporting daytime maxima of 74–76°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with only a low chance of light morning drizzle. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 76–77°F bin. Historical climatology for mid-September in NYC shows average highs around 73–75°F, so the current setup sits close to seasonal norms rather than an outlier warm or cool episode. Traders appear focused on the narrow spread between official NWS guidance and ensemble means, with limited upside risk from lingering moisture or delayed clearing. The next key updates—afternoon model cycles and the National Weather Service’s extended forecast—will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the adjacent 74–75°F or 78–79°F ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,686結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ET**Recent forecasts position a high near 75°F as the most probable outcome for New York City on September 14, 2026.** Multiple model runs and short-range guidance indicate northwest flow behind a frontal passage will deliver cooler, drier air, supporting daytime maxima of 74–76°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with only a low chance of light morning drizzle. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 76–77°F bin. Historical climatology for mid-September in NYC shows average highs around 73–75°F, so the current setup sits close to seasonal norms rather than an outlier warm or cool episode. Traders appear focused on the narrow spread between official NWS guidance and ensemble means, with limited upside risk from lingering moisture or delayed clearing. The next key updates—afternoon model cycles and the National Weather Service’s extended forecast—will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the adjacent 74–75°F or 78–79°F ranges before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions