Traders have converged on 22°C as the certain outcome for Chengdu’s daily maximum temperature on September 12, 2026, driven by real-time surface observations and official station data that show the peak reached precisely that level under persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow. Multiple forecast models, including those from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles, consistently indicated a narrow range around 20–24°C amid high humidity and minimal solar heating, aligning with the market-implied odds. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the low uncertainty once afternoon readings confirmed no further rise. Only an unexpected late-day surge from clearing skies or station-specific microclimate effects could have altered the result, but current conditions rendered such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日成都最高溫度？
9月12日成都最高溫度？
22°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$53,132 交易量
$53,132 交易量
2026-09-12
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
22°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$53,132 交易量
$53,132 交易量
2026-09-12
20°C或以下
$1,544 交易量
否
21°C
$3,277 交易量
否
22°C
$9,854 交易量
是
23°C
$14,957 交易量
否
24°C
$7,163 交易量
否
25°C
$7,860 交易量
否
26°C
$5,222 交易量
否
27°C
$883 交易量
否
28°C
$689 交易量
否
29°C
$838 交易量
否
30°C或更高
$845 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 22°C as the certain outcome for Chengdu’s daily maximum temperature on September 12, 2026, driven by real-time surface observations and official station data that show the peak reached precisely that level under persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow. Multiple forecast models, including those from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles, consistently indicated a narrow range around 20–24°C amid high humidity and minimal solar heating, aligning with the market-implied odds. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the low uncertainty once afternoon readings confirmed no further rise. Only an unexpected late-day surge from clearing skies or station-specific microclimate effects could have altered the result, but current conditions rendered such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$53,132結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 22°C as the certain outcome for Chengdu’s daily maximum temperature on September 12, 2026, driven by real-time surface observations and official station data that show the peak reached precisely that level under persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow. Multiple forecast models, including those from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles, consistently indicated a narrow range around 20–24°C amid high humidity and minimal solar heating, aligning with the market-implied odds. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the low uncertainty once afternoon readings confirmed no further rise. Only an unexpected late-day surge from clearing skies or station-specific microclimate effects could have altered the result, but current conditions rendered such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$53,132結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders have converged on 22°C as the certain outcome for Chengdu’s daily maximum temperature on September 12, 2026, driven by real-time surface observations and official station data that show the peak reached precisely that level under persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow. Multiple forecast models, including those from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles, consistently indicated a narrow range around 20–24°C amid high humidity and minimal solar heating, aligning with the market-implied odds. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the low uncertainty once afternoon readings confirmed no further rise. Only an unexpected late-day surge from clearing skies or station-specific microclimate effects could have altered the result, but current conditions rendered such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions