Current forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure over Busan on September 13, supporting a daily maximum near 28°C with minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, consistent across multiple runs and historical September climatology for the region, positions 28–30°C outcomes as probable while leaving room for localized urban heat or model spread that could push readings slightly higher. Trader sentiment reflected in the market-implied odds favors the upper end of this range, consistent with skin-in-the-game assessment of forecast uncertainty and typical variability in peak observations. Key resolution thresholds center on the official recorded maximum, with updates expected from morning model guidance and real-time station data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日釜山的最高溫度?
31°C 51%
30°C 33%
32°C 10%
29°C 7%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
33%
31°C
51%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
31°C 51%
30°C 33%
32°C 10%
29°C 7%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
33%
31°C
51%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure over Busan on September 13, supporting a daily maximum near 28°C with minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, consistent across multiple runs and historical September climatology for the region, positions 28–30°C outcomes as probable while leaving room for localized urban heat or model spread that could push readings slightly higher. Trader sentiment reflected in the market-implied odds favors the upper end of this range, consistent with skin-in-the-game assessment of forecast uncertainty and typical variability in peak observations. Key resolution thresholds center on the official recorded maximum, with updates expected from morning model guidance and real-time station data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions