Trader consensus has converged on 18°C as Moscow’s highest temperature for September 14, driven by official meteorological observations from Roshydromet stations confirming this peak under a stable high-pressure ridge. Ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with surface measurements, showing limited diurnal variation and no late-day surges. Historical September averages for the region hover near 15–17°C, providing context for the modest warmth. This market-implied outcome could shift only if post-event quality control revises station data or identifies a micro-climate anomaly exceeding the recorded maximum, though such revisions remain uncommon for daily highs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日莫斯科最高溫度？
9月14日莫斯科最高溫度？
18°C 100%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$25,325 交易量
$25,325 交易量
2026-09-14
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
18°C 100%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$25,325 交易量
$25,325 交易量
2026-09-14
13°C或以下
$267 交易量
否
14°C
$262 交易量
否
15°C
$241 交易量
否
16°C
$258 交易量
否
17°C
$1,358 交易量
否
18°C
$9,586 交易量
是
19°C
$4,298 交易量
否
20°C
$5,468 交易量
否
21°C
$2,994 交易量
否
22°C
$298 交易量
否
23°C或更高
$294 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on 18°C as Moscow’s highest temperature for September 14, driven by official meteorological observations from Roshydromet stations confirming this peak under a stable high-pressure ridge. Ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with surface measurements, showing limited diurnal variation and no late-day surges. Historical September averages for the region hover near 15–17°C, providing context for the modest warmth. This market-implied outcome could shift only if post-event quality control revises station data or identifies a micro-climate anomaly exceeding the recorded maximum, though such revisions remain uncommon for daily highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$25,325結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on 18°C as Moscow’s highest temperature for September 14, driven by official meteorological observations from Roshydromet stations confirming this peak under a stable high-pressure ridge. Ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with surface measurements, showing limited diurnal variation and no late-day surges. Historical September averages for the region hover near 15–17°C, providing context for the modest warmth. This market-implied outcome could shift only if post-event quality control revises station data or identifies a micro-climate anomaly exceeding the recorded maximum, though such revisions remain uncommon for daily highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,325結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus has converged on 18°C as Moscow’s highest temperature for September 14, driven by official meteorological observations from Roshydromet stations confirming this peak under a stable high-pressure ridge. Ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with surface measurements, showing limited diurnal variation and no late-day surges. Historical September averages for the region hover near 15–17°C, providing context for the modest warmth. This market-implied outcome could shift only if post-event quality control revises station data or identifies a micro-climate anomaly exceeding the recorded maximum, though such revisions remain uncommon for daily highs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions