Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 28–29°C for Beijing on September 12, 2026, under clear skies and light southerly winds that favor modest daytime heating without cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. This aligns with the market’s strong emphasis on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus around typical late-summer conditions near the long-term average high of 27.1°C. Stable high pressure and minimal synoptic activity have kept conditions consistent in recent model runs, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations. Upcoming afternoon observations and any final adjustments from official agencies will determine the precise maximum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日北京最高溫度?
29°C 68%
28°C 18%
30°C 14%
27°C 2%
$28,953 交易量
$28,953 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
18%
29°C
68%
30°C
14%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
29°C 68%
28°C 18%
30°C 14%
27°C 2%
$28,953 交易量
$28,953 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
18%
29°C
68%
30°C
14%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 28–29°C for Beijing on September 12, 2026, under clear skies and light southerly winds that favor modest daytime heating without cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. This aligns with the market’s strong emphasis on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus around typical late-summer conditions near the long-term average high of 27.1°C. Stable high pressure and minimal synoptic activity have kept conditions consistent in recent model runs, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations. Upcoming afternoon observations and any final adjustments from official agencies will determine the precise maximum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions