Recent observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai reached a daily maximum of 28°C on September 12 under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds. This aligns with surface station readings peaking in the late morning to early afternoon before gradual cooling, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the region. Trader consensus at near-certainty for 28°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in verified measurements and the absence of significant model spread or unexpected atmospheric shifts. Only an official post-event revision from the designated reporting station or an undetected micro-scale heat anomaly could alter the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日上海最高溫度？
9月12日上海最高溫度？
28°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$94,100 交易量
$94,100 交易量
2026-09-12
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或以上
否
28°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$94,100 交易量
$94,100 交易量
2026-09-12
25°C或以下
$374 交易量
否
26°C
$1,620 交易量
否
27°C
$14,428 交易量
否
28°C
$29,000 交易量
是
29°C
$11,796 交易量
否
30°C
$20,540 交易量
否
31°C
$8,337 交易量
否
32°C
$5,099 交易量
否
33°C
$2,525 交易量
否
34°C
$128 交易量
否
35°C或以上
$253 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai reached a daily maximum of 28°C on September 12 under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds. This aligns with surface station readings peaking in the late morning to early afternoon before gradual cooling, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the region. Trader consensus at near-certainty for 28°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in verified measurements and the absence of significant model spread or unexpected atmospheric shifts. Only an official post-event revision from the designated reporting station or an undetected micro-scale heat anomaly could alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$94,100結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai reached a daily maximum of 28°C on September 12 under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds. This aligns with surface station readings peaking in the late morning to early afternoon before gradual cooling, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the region. Trader consensus at near-certainty for 28°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in verified measurements and the absence of significant model spread or unexpected atmospheric shifts. Only an official post-event revision from the designated reporting station or an undetected micro-scale heat anomaly could alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$94,100結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai reached a daily maximum of 28°C on September 12 under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds. This aligns with surface station readings peaking in the late morning to early afternoon before gradual cooling, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the region. Trader consensus at near-certainty for 28°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in verified measurements and the absence of significant model spread or unexpected atmospheric shifts. Only an official post-event revision from the designated reporting station or an undetected micro-scale heat anomaly could alter the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions