Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS runs indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13 near 20–21°C, driven by persistent westerly flow from the Atlantic, extensive cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit daytime heating. These conditions suppress the typical late-summer peak, aligning closely with the 19.5°C historical average high while steering clear of stronger ridging that could push readings higher. Minor disagreements among models center on the timing and intensity of any afternoon clearing or showers, which could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between 20°C and 21°C, traders are pricing in this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月13日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
21°C 57%
20°C 36%
22°C 6%
19°C 4%
最新
$11,519 交易量
最新
$11,519 交易量
2026-09-13
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
36%
21°C
57%
22°C
6%
23°C
<1%
24°C或以上
<1%
21°C 57%
20°C 36%
22°C 6%
19°C 4%
最新
$11,519 交易量
最新
$11,519 交易量
2026-09-13
14°C或以下
$137 交易量
<1%
15°C
$121 交易量
<1%
16°C
$887 交易量
<1%
17°C
$25 交易量
<1%
18°C
$257 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,471 交易量
4%
20°C
$2,895 交易量
36%
21°C
$3,079 交易量
57%
22°C
$1,648 交易量
6%
23°C
$453 交易量
<1%
24°C或以上
$546 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS runs indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13 near 20–21°C, driven by persistent westerly flow from the Atlantic, extensive cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit daytime heating. These conditions suppress the typical late-summer peak, aligning closely with the 19.5°C historical average high while steering clear of stronger ridging that could push readings higher. Minor disagreements among models center on the timing and intensity of any afternoon clearing or showers, which could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between 20°C and 21°C, traders are pricing in this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$11,519結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS runs indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13 near 20–21°C, driven by persistent westerly flow from the Atlantic, extensive cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit daytime heating. These conditions suppress the typical late-summer peak, aligning closely with the 19.5°C historical average high while steering clear of stronger ridging that could push readings higher. Minor disagreements among models center on the timing and intensity of any afternoon clearing or showers, which could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between 20°C and 21°C, traders are pricing in this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,519結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS runs indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13 near 20–21°C, driven by persistent westerly flow from the Atlantic, extensive cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit daytime heating. These conditions suppress the typical late-summer peak, aligning closely with the 19.5°C historical average high while steering clear of stronger ridging that could push readings higher. Minor disagreements among models center on the timing and intensity of any afternoon clearing or showers, which could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between 20°C and 21°C, traders are pricing in this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions