Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European centers show Munich under clear skies and light southwesterly flow on September 12, 2026, supporting daytime maximums of 21–23 °C, with 23 °C the most frequently cited value. This range aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 23 °C, reflecting trader assessment of limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation that allow strong insolation. September climatology places the long-term average high near 20 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by a stable high-pressure pattern. Hourly guidance indicates the peak will occur in the early to mid-afternoon, with little model spread on timing or intensity. Updated runs later today could refine the exact maximum, but the current consensus keeps 23 °C the dominant implied outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
9月12日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
23°C 73%
22°C 22%
24°C 6%
21°C 3%
$19,974 交易量
$19,974 交易量
2026-09-12
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
22%
23°C
73%
24°C
6%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
23°C 73%
22°C 22%
24°C 6%
21°C 3%
$19,974 交易量
$19,974 交易量
2026-09-12
19°C或以下
$1,227 交易量
<1%
20°C
$840 交易量
1%
21°C
$1,855 交易量
3%
22°C
$5,228 交易量
22%
23°C
$4,130 交易量
73%
24°C
$2,073 交易量
6%
25°C
$1,275 交易量
<1%
26°C
$772 交易量
<1%
27°C
$304 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,150 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$1,120 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European centers show Munich under clear skies and light southwesterly flow on September 12, 2026, supporting daytime maximums of 21–23 °C, with 23 °C the most frequently cited value. This range aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 23 °C, reflecting trader assessment of limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation that allow strong insolation. September climatology places the long-term average high near 20 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by a stable high-pressure pattern. Hourly guidance indicates the peak will occur in the early to mid-afternoon, with little model spread on timing or intensity. Updated runs later today could refine the exact maximum, but the current consensus keeps 23 °C the dominant implied outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$19,974結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European centers show Munich under clear skies and light southwesterly flow on September 12, 2026, supporting daytime maximums of 21–23 °C, with 23 °C the most frequently cited value. This range aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 23 °C, reflecting trader assessment of limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation that allow strong insolation. September climatology places the long-term average high near 20 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by a stable high-pressure pattern. Hourly guidance indicates the peak will occur in the early to mid-afternoon, with little model spread on timing or intensity. Updated runs later today could refine the exact maximum, but the current consensus keeps 23 °C the dominant implied outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,974結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from sources including the Met Office and European centers show Munich under clear skies and light southwesterly flow on September 12, 2026, supporting daytime maximums of 21–23 °C, with 23 °C the most frequently cited value. This range aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 23 °C, reflecting trader assessment of limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation that allow strong insolation. September climatology places the long-term average high near 20 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by a stable high-pressure pattern. Hourly guidance indicates the peak will occur in the early to mid-afternoon, with little model spread on timing or intensity. Updated runs later today could refine the exact maximum, but the current consensus keeps 23 °C the dominant implied outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions