Traders have converged on a 102-103°F outcome for Austin’s highest temperature on September 11, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from regional weather networks showing a daily maximum of 102°F under hot, humid conditions with southerly flow. This aligns with late-summer patterns where high pressure and downslope warming frequently push Central Texas into the low 100s, exceeding the 1991–2020 September average high of 92°F. Official station reports and model-verified observations provide the resolution criteria, leaving minimal room for revision once quality-controlled data are finalized. Only an unusually large discrepancy between primary reporting sites or a post-analysis correction would alter the bin, an outcome historical records show occurs infrequently for well-monitored urban locations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
9月11日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
102-103°F 100.0%
華氏87度或以下 <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$30,819 交易量
$30,819 交易量
2026-09-11
華氏87度或以下
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100-101°F
否
102-103°F
是
104-105°F
否
106°F或以上
否
102-103°F 100.0%
華氏87度或以下 <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$30,819 交易量
$30,819 交易量
2026-09-11
華氏87度或以下
$822 交易量
否
88-89°F
$586 交易量
否
90-91°F
$447 交易量
否
92-93°F
$503 交易量
否
94-95°F
$380 交易量
否
96-97°F
$1,735 交易量
否
98-99°F
$2,954 交易量
否
100-101°F
$14,228 交易量
否
102-103°F
$5,728 交易量
是
104-105°F
$2,650 交易量
否
106°F或以上
$785 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 102-103°F outcome for Austin’s highest temperature on September 11, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from regional weather networks showing a daily maximum of 102°F under hot, humid conditions with southerly flow. This aligns with late-summer patterns where high pressure and downslope warming frequently push Central Texas into the low 100s, exceeding the 1991–2020 September average high of 92°F. Official station reports and model-verified observations provide the resolution criteria, leaving minimal room for revision once quality-controlled data are finalized. Only an unusually large discrepancy between primary reporting sites or a post-analysis correction would alter the bin, an outcome historical records show occurs infrequently for well-monitored urban locations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$30,819結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 102-103°F outcome for Austin’s highest temperature on September 11, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from regional weather networks showing a daily maximum of 102°F under hot, humid conditions with southerly flow. This aligns with late-summer patterns where high pressure and downslope warming frequently push Central Texas into the low 100s, exceeding the 1991–2020 September average high of 92°F. Official station reports and model-verified observations provide the resolution criteria, leaving minimal room for revision once quality-controlled data are finalized. Only an unusually large discrepancy between primary reporting sites or a post-analysis correction would alter the bin, an outcome historical records show occurs infrequently for well-monitored urban locations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,819結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders have converged on a 102-103°F outcome for Austin’s highest temperature on September 11, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from regional weather networks showing a daily maximum of 102°F under hot, humid conditions with southerly flow. This aligns with late-summer patterns where high pressure and downslope warming frequently push Central Texas into the low 100s, exceeding the 1991–2020 September average high of 92°F. Official station reports and model-verified observations provide the resolution criteria, leaving minimal room for revision once quality-controlled data are finalized. Only an unusually large discrepancy between primary reporting sites or a post-analysis correction would alter the bin, an outcome historical records show occurs infrequently for well-monitored urban locations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions