**Official National Weather Service observations and model consensus established a maximum temperature of 100–101°F in Austin on September 12, 2026.** Persistent high pressure, southerly winds, and elevated dew points produced hot, humid conditions under a heat advisory, with afternoon peaks aligning closely with the 91.9°F climatological average high plus a strong positive anomaly. Forecasts from NWS Austin/San Antonio and local outlets consistently projected 99–102°F highs, matching historical analogs such as the 102°F records from 1893 and 2011. The market’s near-certain pricing on 100–101°F reflects this convergence of pre-event guidance and post-event verification, though minor station-to-station variations or precise timing of the daily maximum could theoretically shift resolution within the narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
9月12日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
100-101華氏度 100.0%
華氏91度或以下 <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$37,240 交易量
$37,240 交易量
2026-09-12
華氏91度或以下
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99華氏度
<1%
100-101華氏度
100%
102-103華氏度
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107華氏度
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
華氏110度或更高
<1%
100-101華氏度 100.0%
華氏91度或以下 <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$37,240 交易量
$37,240 交易量
2026-09-12
華氏91度或以下
$389 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$438 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$1,222 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$1,133 交易量
<1%
98-99華氏度
$6,159 交易量
<1%
100-101華氏度
$9,447 交易量
100%
102-103華氏度
$10,359 交易量
<1%
104-105°F
$5,056 交易量
<1%
106-107華氏度
$2,523 交易量
<1%
108-109°F
$276 交易量
<1%
華氏110度或更高
$421 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations and model consensus established a maximum temperature of 100–101°F in Austin on September 12, 2026.** Persistent high pressure, southerly winds, and elevated dew points produced hot, humid conditions under a heat advisory, with afternoon peaks aligning closely with the 91.9°F climatological average high plus a strong positive anomaly. Forecasts from NWS Austin/San Antonio and local outlets consistently projected 99–102°F highs, matching historical analogs such as the 102°F records from 1893 and 2011. The market’s near-certain pricing on 100–101°F reflects this convergence of pre-event guidance and post-event verification, though minor station-to-station variations or precise timing of the daily maximum could theoretically shift resolution within the narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$37,240結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations and model consensus established a maximum temperature of 100–101°F in Austin on September 12, 2026.** Persistent high pressure, southerly winds, and elevated dew points produced hot, humid conditions under a heat advisory, with afternoon peaks aligning closely with the 91.9°F climatological average high plus a strong positive anomaly. Forecasts from NWS Austin/San Antonio and local outlets consistently projected 99–102°F highs, matching historical analogs such as the 102°F records from 1893 and 2011. The market’s near-certain pricing on 100–101°F reflects this convergence of pre-event guidance and post-event verification, though minor station-to-station variations or precise timing of the daily maximum could theoretically shift resolution within the narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,240結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET**Official National Weather Service observations and model consensus established a maximum temperature of 100–101°F in Austin on September 12, 2026.** Persistent high pressure, southerly winds, and elevated dew points produced hot, humid conditions under a heat advisory, with afternoon peaks aligning closely with the 91.9°F climatological average high plus a strong positive anomaly. Forecasts from NWS Austin/San Antonio and local outlets consistently projected 99–102°F highs, matching historical analogs such as the 102°F records from 1893 and 2011. The market’s near-certain pricing on 100–101°F reflects this convergence of pre-event guidance and post-event verification, though minor station-to-station variations or precise timing of the daily maximum could theoretically shift resolution within the narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions