Forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate a daytime high near 25–26 °C for Toronto on September 12, with morning temperatures climbing from the mid-teens under partly cloudy skies and light southeast flow. This consensus supports the market’s leading 26 °C (54.5 %) and 25 °C (33.5 %) outcomes, reflecting typical late-summer conditions where peak readings occur in the afternoon before any late-day showers or thunderstorms develop. Historical September 12 averages of 22.8 °C provide context for the mild warmth, while humidex values near 31 underscore the influence of moisture on perceived heat. Updated model runs through the morning have shown little deviation, keeping 27 °C or higher probabilities low at 5.5 % or less.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日多倫多氣溫最高?
26°C 56%
25°C 34%
27°C 6%
24°C 3%
$26,973 交易量
$26,973 交易量
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
34%
26°C
56%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
26°C 56%
25°C 34%
27°C 6%
24°C 3%
$26,973 交易量
$26,973 交易量
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
34%
26°C
56%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate a daytime high near 25–26 °C for Toronto on September 12, with morning temperatures climbing from the mid-teens under partly cloudy skies and light southeast flow. This consensus supports the market’s leading 26 °C (54.5 %) and 25 °C (33.5 %) outcomes, reflecting typical late-summer conditions where peak readings occur in the afternoon before any late-day showers or thunderstorms develop. Historical September 12 averages of 22.8 °C provide context for the mild warmth, while humidex values near 31 underscore the influence of moisture on perceived heat. Updated model runs through the morning have shown little deviation, keeping 27 °C or higher probabilities low at 5.5 % or less.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions