Current numerical weather models, including GFS runs updated within the past 24 hours, indicate partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds under high pressure will support a daytime maximum near 26°C in Paris on September 13, slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of about 22°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong frontal systems to alter the pattern. Traders appear to weight the most probable outcomes at 25–27°C accordingly, reflecting consensus on modest late-summer warmth without significant model divergence or recent observational shifts that would favor outliers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日巴黎最高溫度？
9月13日巴黎最高溫度？
26°C 38%
27°C 28%
25°C 22%
28°C 9%
最新
$12,023 交易量
最新
$12,023 交易量
2026-09-13
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
22%
26°C
38%
27°C
28%
28°C
9%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
26°C 38%
27°C 28%
25°C 22%
28°C 9%
最新
$12,023 交易量
最新
$12,023 交易量
2026-09-13
22°C或以下
$525 交易量
<1%
23°C
$436 交易量
2%
24°C
$1,605 交易量
7%
25°C
$1,690 交易量
22%
26°C
$1,526 交易量
38%
27°C
$2,528 交易量
28%
28°C
$1,791 交易量
9%
29°C
$464 交易量
3%
30°C
$171 交易量
<1%
31°C
$450 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$838 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including GFS runs updated within the past 24 hours, indicate partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds under high pressure will support a daytime maximum near 26°C in Paris on September 13, slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of about 22°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong frontal systems to alter the pattern. Traders appear to weight the most probable outcomes at 25–27°C accordingly, reflecting consensus on modest late-summer warmth without significant model divergence or recent observational shifts that would favor outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$12,023結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including GFS runs updated within the past 24 hours, indicate partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds under high pressure will support a daytime maximum near 26°C in Paris on September 13, slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of about 22°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong frontal systems to alter the pattern. Traders appear to weight the most probable outcomes at 25–27°C accordingly, reflecting consensus on modest late-summer warmth without significant model divergence or recent observational shifts that would favor outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,023結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent numerical weather models, including GFS runs updated within the past 24 hours, indicate partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds under high pressure will support a daytime maximum near 26°C in Paris on September 13, slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of about 22°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong frontal systems to alter the pattern. Traders appear to weight the most probable outcomes at 25–27°C accordingly, reflecting consensus on modest late-summer warmth without significant model divergence or recent observational shifts that would favor outliers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions