Recent high-resolution model guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to clear skies, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover over the Anatolian plateau, supporting a peak temperature near 32 °C on September 12. These conditions align with the market-implied odds, where 32 °C leads at 53.5 % and 31 °C follows at 34 %, reflecting trader consensus on the most probable maximum under the current stable high-pressure pattern. Historical September averages for Ankara sit lower, but the ongoing late-summer warmth and dry air mass have sustained elevated readings in recent days. New model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日安卡拉的最高溫度？
9月12日安卡拉的最高溫度？
32°C 54%
31°C 34%
33°C 7%
30°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
34%
32°C
54%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C或以上
<1%
32°C 54%
31°C 34%
33°C 7%
30°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
25°C或以下
$140 交易量
<1%
26°C
$14 交易量
<1%
27°C
$23 交易量
<1%
28°C
$14 交易量
<1%
29°C
$14 交易量
<1%
30°C
$263 交易量
4%
31°C
$624 交易量
34%
32°C
$567 交易量
54%
33°C
$247 交易量
7%
34°C
$286 交易量
2%
35°C或以上
$220 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to clear skies, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover over the Anatolian plateau, supporting a peak temperature near 32 °C on September 12. These conditions align with the market-implied odds, where 32 °C leads at 53.5 % and 31 °C follows at 34 %, reflecting trader consensus on the most probable maximum under the current stable high-pressure pattern. Historical September averages for Ankara sit lower, but the ongoing late-summer warmth and dry air mass have sustained elevated readings in recent days. New model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,412結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to clear skies, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover over the Anatolian plateau, supporting a peak temperature near 32 °C on September 12. These conditions align with the market-implied odds, where 32 °C leads at 53.5 % and 31 °C follows at 34 %, reflecting trader consensus on the most probable maximum under the current stable high-pressure pattern. Historical September averages for Ankara sit lower, but the ongoing late-summer warmth and dry air mass have sustained elevated readings in recent days. New model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,412結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent high-resolution model guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to clear skies, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover over the Anatolian plateau, supporting a peak temperature near 32 °C on September 12. These conditions align with the market-implied odds, where 32 °C leads at 53.5 % and 31 °C follows at 34 %, reflecting trader consensus on the most probable maximum under the current stable high-pressure pattern. Historical September averages for Ankara sit lower, but the ongoing late-summer warmth and dry air mass have sustained elevated readings in recent days. New model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions