**Trader consensus at 100% on 7°C** for Munich’s lowest temperature on September 12 reflects the latest forecast consensus from models aligned with Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance, showing overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds reaching a minimum near that threshold. This aligns with current surface observations and ensemble runs projecting stabilization around 7°C rather than the seasonal average low of ~10.5°C. The market’s overwhelming positioning captures the narrow uncertainty band remaining late in the day, with resolution based on official station measurements. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover reducing cooling, a late wind shift, or localized microclimate variations at the recording site that push the actual minimum 1–2°C higher or lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日慕尼黑最低溫度？
9月12日慕尼黑最低溫度？
7°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$1,268 交易量
$1,268 交易量
2026-09-12
4°C或以下
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
是
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C或以上
否
7°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$1,268 交易量
$1,268 交易量
2026-09-12
4°C或以下
$25 交易量
否
5°C
$45 交易量
否
6°C
$55 交易量
否
7°C
$339 交易量
是
8°C
$180 交易量
否
9°C
$209 交易量
否
10°C
$285 交易量
否
11°C
$40 交易量
否
12°C
$0 交易量
否
13°C
$45 交易量
否
14°C或以上
$45 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 7°C** for Munich’s lowest temperature on September 12 reflects the latest forecast consensus from models aligned with Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance, showing overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds reaching a minimum near that threshold. This aligns with current surface observations and ensemble runs projecting stabilization around 7°C rather than the seasonal average low of ~10.5°C. The market’s overwhelming positioning captures the narrow uncertainty band remaining late in the day, with resolution based on official station measurements. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover reducing cooling, a late wind shift, or localized microclimate variations at the recording site that push the actual minimum 1–2°C higher or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,268結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 7°C** for Munich’s lowest temperature on September 12 reflects the latest forecast consensus from models aligned with Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance, showing overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds reaching a minimum near that threshold. This aligns with current surface observations and ensemble runs projecting stabilization around 7°C rather than the seasonal average low of ~10.5°C. The market’s overwhelming positioning captures the narrow uncertainty band remaining late in the day, with resolution based on official station measurements. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover reducing cooling, a late wind shift, or localized microclimate variations at the recording site that push the actual minimum 1–2°C higher or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,268結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus at 100% on 7°C** for Munich’s lowest temperature on September 12 reflects the latest forecast consensus from models aligned with Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance, showing overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds reaching a minimum near that threshold. This aligns with current surface observations and ensemble runs projecting stabilization around 7°C rather than the seasonal average low of ~10.5°C. The market’s overwhelming positioning captures the narrow uncertainty band remaining late in the day, with resolution based on official station measurements. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover reducing cooling, a late wind shift, or localized microclimate variations at the recording site that push the actual minimum 1–2°C higher or lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions