Recent model runs and observational data indicate Munich's overnight low on September 14 will likely settle between 11–14 °C, with patchy rain, mostly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds moderating radiative cooling and keeping surface temperatures elevated relative to clearer conditions. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 9 °C or below and the 14–15 °C range because forecast ensembles diverge on exact minimum timing and urban heat-island effects at official stations. Dew points near 12–14 °C, combined with 70–90 % relative humidity and weak advection of cooler maritime air, limit further nocturnal drops, while any clearing after midnight could allow brief radiative cooling toward single digits. Historical September averages near 10 °C provide context, yet current synoptic setup favors values near the middle of the distribution until final observations resolve the spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日慕尼黑最低溫度?
9°C或以下 100%
14°C 48%
15°C 47%
11°C 43%
9°C或以下
100%
10°C
18%
11°C
43%
12°C
26%
13°C
43%
14°C
48%
15°C
47%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或以上
<1%
9°C或以下 100%
14°C 48%
15°C 47%
11°C 43%
9°C或以下
100%
10°C
18%
11°C
43%
12°C
26%
13°C
43%
14°C
48%
15°C
47%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model runs and observational data indicate Munich's overnight low on September 14 will likely settle between 11–14 °C, with patchy rain, mostly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds moderating radiative cooling and keeping surface temperatures elevated relative to clearer conditions. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 9 °C or below and the 14–15 °C range because forecast ensembles diverge on exact minimum timing and urban heat-island effects at official stations. Dew points near 12–14 °C, combined with 70–90 % relative humidity and weak advection of cooler maritime air, limit further nocturnal drops, while any clearing after midnight could allow brief radiative cooling toward single digits. Historical September averages near 10 °C provide context, yet current synoptic setup favors values near the middle of the distribution until final observations resolve the spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions