**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-area stations, including Austin Bergstrom International Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 73°F on September 16, 2026.** This placed the daily low squarely in the 72–73°F range amid persistently warm late-summer conditions, with overnight readings holding in the mid- to upper 70s under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Forecast models and climatological normals (historical average low near 68°F) had already pointed to above-average overnight temperatures due to regional high pressure and minimal cooling, and post-event summaries confirmed no colder pockets or measurement revisions. The near-certain market-implied odds for 72–73°F reflect this verified station data. Realistic challenges would require documented discrepancies across official sites (such as Camp Mabry versus Bergstrom) exceeding typical microclimate variation or an unreported sensor error, both of which remain unlikely given consistent agency reporting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日奧斯汀最低溫度？
9月16日奧斯汀最低溫度？
72-73°F 100%
69°F或以下 <1%
70-71°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$3,852 交易量
$3,852 交易量
2026-09-16
69°F或以下
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
是
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85華氏度
否
86-87°F
否
華氏88度或更高
否
72-73°F 100%
69°F或以下 <1%
70-71°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$3,852 交易量
$3,852 交易量
2026-09-16
69°F或以下
$26 交易量
否
70-71°F
$603 交易量
否
72-73°F
$149 交易量
是
74-75°F
$1,284 交易量
否
76-77°F
$1,449 交易量
否
78-79°F
$230 交易量
否
80-81°F
$40 交易量
否
82-83°F
$10 交易量
否
84-85華氏度
$10 交易量
否
86-87°F
$42 交易量
否
華氏88度或更高
$10 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-area stations, including Austin Bergstrom International Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 73°F on September 16, 2026.** This placed the daily low squarely in the 72–73°F range amid persistently warm late-summer conditions, with overnight readings holding in the mid- to upper 70s under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow.
Forecast models and climatological normals (historical average low near 68°F) had already pointed to above-average overnight temperatures due to regional high pressure and minimal cooling, and post-event summaries confirmed no colder pockets or measurement revisions. The near-certain market-implied odds for 72–73°F reflect this verified station data.
Realistic challenges would require documented discrepancies across official sites (such as Camp Mabry versus Bergstrom) exceeding typical microclimate variation or an unreported sensor error, both of which remain unlikely given consistent agency reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,852結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-area stations, including Austin Bergstrom International Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 73°F on September 16, 2026.** This placed the daily low squarely in the 72–73°F range amid persistently warm late-summer conditions, with overnight readings holding in the mid- to upper 70s under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow.
Forecast models and climatological normals (historical average low near 68°F) had already pointed to above-average overnight temperatures due to regional high pressure and minimal cooling, and post-event summaries confirmed no colder pockets or measurement revisions. The near-certain market-implied odds for 72–73°F reflect this verified station data.
Realistic challenges would require documented discrepancies across official sites (such as Camp Mabry versus Bergstrom) exceeding typical microclimate variation or an unreported sensor error, both of which remain unlikely given consistent agency reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,852結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-area stations, including Austin Bergstrom International Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 73°F on September 16, 2026.** This placed the daily low squarely in the 72–73°F range amid persistently warm late-summer conditions, with overnight readings holding in the mid- to upper 70s under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Forecast models and climatological normals (historical average low near 68°F) had already pointed to above-average overnight temperatures due to regional high pressure and minimal cooling, and post-event summaries confirmed no colder pockets or measurement revisions. The near-certain market-implied odds for 72–73°F reflect this verified station data. Realistic challenges would require documented discrepancies across official sites (such as Camp Mabry versus Bergstrom) exceeding typical microclimate variation or an unreported sensor error, both of which remain unlikely given consistent agency reporting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions