Recent weather model consensus, including GFS guidance, supports overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light southerly winds, positioning 8°C as the most probable minimum for Munich on September 15. Dew points near 10–12°C and moderate humidity limit further drops, while the mid-September climatological baseline of roughly 10°C provides context for this slightly below-average reading. Current surface observations show temperatures holding in the low teens Celsius into the evening, consistent with the market-implied 69% probability on 8°C versus minimal odds on colder thresholds. Final DWD station data will resolve the market once the calendar day closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日慕尼黑最低溫度？
9月15日慕尼黑最低溫度？
8°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$4,126 交易量
$4,126 交易量
2026-09-15
4°C或以下
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
是
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C或以上
否
8°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$4,126 交易量
$4,126 交易量
2026-09-15
4°C或以下
$26 交易量
否
5°C
$256 交易量
否
6°C
$409 交易量
否
7°C
$155 交易量
否
8°C
$2,857 交易量
是
9°C
$123 交易量
否
10°C
$86 交易量
否
11°C
$70 交易量
否
12°C
$80 交易量
否
13°C
$32 交易量
否
14°C或以上
$32 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus, including GFS guidance, supports overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light southerly winds, positioning 8°C as the most probable minimum for Munich on September 15. Dew points near 10–12°C and moderate humidity limit further drops, while the mid-September climatological baseline of roughly 10°C provides context for this slightly below-average reading. Current surface observations show temperatures holding in the low teens Celsius into the evening, consistent with the market-implied 69% probability on 8°C versus minimal odds on colder thresholds. Final DWD station data will resolve the market once the calendar day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
交易量
$4,126結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus, including GFS guidance, supports overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light southerly winds, positioning 8°C as the most probable minimum for Munich on September 15. Dew points near 10–12°C and moderate humidity limit further drops, while the mid-September climatological baseline of roughly 10°C provides context for this slightly below-average reading. Current surface observations show temperatures holding in the low teens Celsius into the evening, consistent with the market-implied 69% probability on 8°C versus minimal odds on colder thresholds. Final DWD station data will resolve the market once the calendar day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,126結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent weather model consensus, including GFS guidance, supports overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light southerly winds, positioning 8°C as the most probable minimum for Munich on September 15. Dew points near 10–12°C and moderate humidity limit further drops, while the mid-September climatological baseline of roughly 10°C provides context for this slightly below-average reading. Current surface observations show temperatures holding in the low teens Celsius into the evening, consistent with the market-implied 69% probability on 8°C versus minimal odds on colder thresholds. Final DWD station data will resolve the market once the calendar day closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions