Recent clear skies and southerly winds over Qingdao have supported daytime heating on September 16, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicating a maximum near 28–29°C under mostly sunny conditions. Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C implied probabilities reflects expectations that localized warming from reduced cloud cover and coastal advection could push the official peak higher than baseline September averages of 26°C, consistent with recent hourly observations reaching the low 30s in similar setups. Uncertainty remains around exact measurement timing and any late-day cooling from sea breezes, with resolution hinging on final China Meteorological Administration data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日青島氣溫最高？
9月16日青島氣溫最高？
32°C 39%
33°C 36%
31°C 21%
34°C 6%
最新
$17,621 交易量
最新
$17,621 交易量
2026-09-16
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
21%
32°C
39%
33°C
36%
34°C
6%
35°C或以上
1%
32°C 39%
33°C 36%
31°C 21%
34°C 6%
最新
$17,621 交易量
最新
$17,621 交易量
2026-09-16
25°C或以下
$348 交易量
<1%
26°C
$352 交易量
<1%
27°C
$564 交易量
<1%
28°C
$381 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,617 交易量
1%
30°C
$1,355 交易量
2%
31°C
$2,343 交易量
21%
32°C
$3,564 交易量
39%
33°C
$4,280 交易量
36%
34°C
$1,932 交易量
6%
35°C或以上
$884 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent clear skies and southerly winds over Qingdao have supported daytime heating on September 16, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicating a maximum near 28–29°C under mostly sunny conditions. Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C implied probabilities reflects expectations that localized warming from reduced cloud cover and coastal advection could push the official peak higher than baseline September averages of 26°C, consistent with recent hourly observations reaching the low 30s in similar setups. Uncertainty remains around exact measurement timing and any late-day cooling from sea breezes, with resolution hinging on final China Meteorological Administration data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$17,621結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent clear skies and southerly winds over Qingdao have supported daytime heating on September 16, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicating a maximum near 28–29°C under mostly sunny conditions. Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C implied probabilities reflects expectations that localized warming from reduced cloud cover and coastal advection could push the official peak higher than baseline September averages of 26°C, consistent with recent hourly observations reaching the low 30s in similar setups. Uncertainty remains around exact measurement timing and any late-day cooling from sea breezes, with resolution hinging on final China Meteorological Administration data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,621結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent clear skies and southerly winds over Qingdao have supported daytime heating on September 16, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicating a maximum near 28–29°C under mostly sunny conditions. Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C implied probabilities reflects expectations that localized warming from reduced cloud cover and coastal advection could push the official peak higher than baseline September averages of 26°C, consistent with recent hourly observations reaching the low 30s in similar setups. Uncertainty remains around exact measurement timing and any late-day cooling from sea breezes, with resolution hinging on final China Meteorological Administration data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions