Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and numerical models indicate a high near 30–31°C for Tokyo on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal precipitation, supporting the market's concentration on 29–31°C outcomes. Southerly winds and moderate humidity allow daytime heating without strong mixing or cloud cover that would cap temperatures, while post-rain stabilization after earlier September systems reduces cooling effects. Historical September averages around 27°C provide context for the elevated readings expected this year. Resolution hinges on the official Tokyo station observation, with any last-minute model shifts in cloud cover or wind speed the primary variables that could nudge the peak within the narrow favored range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日東京氣溫最高？
9月14日東京氣溫最高？
30°C 47%
29°C 23%
31°C 23%
28°C 3%
最新
$25,373 交易量
最新
$25,373 交易量
2026-09-14
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
23%
30°C
47%
31°C
23%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
30°C 47%
29°C 23%
31°C 23%
28°C 3%
最新
$25,373 交易量
最新
$25,373 交易量
2026-09-14
25°C或以下
$3,015 交易量
<1%
26°C
$698 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,063 交易量
2%
28°C
$1,329 交易量
3%
29°C
$3,601 交易量
23%
30°C
$3,591 交易量
47%
31°C
$5,152 交易量
23%
32°C
$2,734 交易量
2%
33°C
$1,195 交易量
2%
34°C
$786 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$1,208 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and numerical models indicate a high near 30–31°C for Tokyo on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal precipitation, supporting the market's concentration on 29–31°C outcomes. Southerly winds and moderate humidity allow daytime heating without strong mixing or cloud cover that would cap temperatures, while post-rain stabilization after earlier September systems reduces cooling effects. Historical September averages around 27°C provide context for the elevated readings expected this year. Resolution hinges on the official Tokyo station observation, with any last-minute model shifts in cloud cover or wind speed the primary variables that could nudge the peak within the narrow favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$25,373結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and numerical models indicate a high near 30–31°C for Tokyo on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal precipitation, supporting the market's concentration on 29–31°C outcomes. Southerly winds and moderate humidity allow daytime heating without strong mixing or cloud cover that would cap temperatures, while post-rain stabilization after earlier September systems reduces cooling effects. Historical September averages around 27°C provide context for the elevated readings expected this year. Resolution hinges on the official Tokyo station observation, with any last-minute model shifts in cloud cover or wind speed the primary variables that could nudge the peak within the narrow favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,373結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and numerical models indicate a high near 30–31°C for Tokyo on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal precipitation, supporting the market's concentration on 29–31°C outcomes. Southerly winds and moderate humidity allow daytime heating without strong mixing or cloud cover that would cap temperatures, while post-rain stabilization after earlier September systems reduces cooling effects. Historical September averages around 27°C provide context for the elevated readings expected this year. Resolution hinges on the official Tokyo station observation, with any last-minute model shifts in cloud cover or wind speed the primary variables that could nudge the peak within the narrow favored range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions