Official meteorological observations from stations in Qingdao have established a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on September 15, driving the market-implied probability to 100% for that outcome. Real-time surface data and automated weather network readings show peak conditions aligning precisely with this threshold under prevailing atmospheric patterns, including moderate humidity and limited daytime heating. Historical September baselines for the region typically range 24–28°C, making the current reading a clear deviation supported by verified station reports rather than model projections alone. Minor uncertainty persists around potential post-peak revisions or microclimate variations at secondary sites, though such adjustments rarely alter the official maximum once recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日青島氣溫最高？
9月15日青島氣溫最高？
31°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$25,351 交易量
$25,351 交易量
2026-09-15
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C或以上
否
31°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$25,351 交易量
$25,351 交易量
2026-09-15
22°C或以下
$98 交易量
否
23°C
$88 交易量
否
24°C
$198 交易量
否
25°C
$188 交易量
否
26°C
$180 交易量
否
27°C
$2,625 交易量
否
28°C
$2,036 交易量
否
29°C
$2,723 交易量
否
30°C
$7,158 交易量
否
31°C
$5,383 交易量
是
32°C或以上
$4,674 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from stations in Qingdao have established a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on September 15, driving the market-implied probability to 100% for that outcome. Real-time surface data and automated weather network readings show peak conditions aligning precisely with this threshold under prevailing atmospheric patterns, including moderate humidity and limited daytime heating. Historical September baselines for the region typically range 24–28°C, making the current reading a clear deviation supported by verified station reports rather than model projections alone. Minor uncertainty persists around potential post-peak revisions or microclimate variations at secondary sites, though such adjustments rarely alter the official maximum once recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
交易量
$25,351結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from stations in Qingdao have established a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on September 15, driving the market-implied probability to 100% for that outcome. Real-time surface data and automated weather network readings show peak conditions aligning precisely with this threshold under prevailing atmospheric patterns, including moderate humidity and limited daytime heating. Historical September baselines for the region typically range 24–28°C, making the current reading a clear deviation supported by verified station reports rather than model projections alone. Minor uncertainty persists around potential post-peak revisions or microclimate variations at secondary sites, though such adjustments rarely alter the official maximum once recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,351結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological observations from stations in Qingdao have established a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on September 15, driving the market-implied probability to 100% for that outcome. Real-time surface data and automated weather network readings show peak conditions aligning precisely with this threshold under prevailing atmospheric patterns, including moderate humidity and limited daytime heating. Historical September baselines for the region typically range 24–28°C, making the current reading a clear deviation supported by verified station reports rather than model projections alone. Minor uncertainty persists around potential post-peak revisions or microclimate variations at secondary sites, though such adjustments rarely alter the official maximum once recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions