Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicated a daytime high of 17–19°C in Moscow on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable pressure around 750 mmHg. Real-time observations aligned closely with this range, peaking near 18°C by mid-afternoon before cooling into the evening, consistent with the seasonal average high of about 17°C and the absence of any anomalous warming factors. Market-implied odds reflect this tight convergence of forecast guidance and early station data, leaving minimal room for deviation. A late surge above 19°C or an official reading revision below 17°C could still alter resolution, though both appear improbable given the model consensus and current conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日莫斯科的最高溫度?
18°C 100%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$28,428 交易量
$28,428 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或以上
否
18°C 100%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$28,428 交易量
$28,428 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicated a daytime high of 17–19°C in Moscow on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable pressure around 750 mmHg. Real-time observations aligned closely with this range, peaking near 18°C by mid-afternoon before cooling into the evening, consistent with the seasonal average high of about 17°C and the absence of any anomalous warming factors. Market-implied odds reflect this tight convergence of forecast guidance and early station data, leaving minimal room for deviation. A late surge above 19°C or an official reading revision below 17°C could still alter resolution, though both appear improbable given the model consensus and current conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions